ONDS

Ondas Holdings Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

ONDS has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ONDS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ONDS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ONDS PE Valuation

ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ONDS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ONDS's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over ONDS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

ONDS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+82%$9.67
Downside-44%$2.99

Calculated from the latest close: $5.32 on Nov 12.

ONDS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails ONDS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ONDS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.88Q1 2024: $-0.75Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $-0.53Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.62Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.09
Q4 2023: $-0.88Q1 2024: $-0.75Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2024: $-0.61Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $-0.53Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.62Q1 2026: $0.09Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.09+$0.32
Q2 2026-$0.02+$0.51
Q1 2026$0.09+$0.68
Q4 2025-$0.62-$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.41+$0.31
Q2 2025-$0.53+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.59+$0.16
Q4 2024-$0.61+$0.27

ONDS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $1.79 at its worst in early 2023.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over ONDS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ONDS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $625,009Q2 2024: $957,851Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $167M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $625,009Q2 2024: $957,851Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $84MQ3 2026: $167M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$167.5M+1559%
Q2 2026$83.8M+1235%
Q1 2026$50.1M+1080%
Q4 2025$30.1M+629%
Q3 2025$10.1M+582%
Q2 2025$6.3M+555%
Q1 2025$4.2M+580%
Q4 2024$4.1M-17%

ONDS has the edge over RIVN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

ONDS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$53MQ2 2026: −$94MQ3 2026: −$151M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$53MQ2 2026: −$94MQ3 2026: −$151M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$150.8M-$139.6M
Q2 2026-$93.8M-$85.3M
Q1 2026-$52.6M-$45.8M
Q4 2025-$14.3M-$6.2M
Q3 2025-$11.1M-$2.7M
Q2 2025-$8.5M+$1.4M
Q1 2025-$6.8M+$1.8M
Q4 2024-$8.1M-$2.1M

ONDS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$312M over the past year, against −$35M the year before.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has the edge over ONDS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ONDS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 260MQ2 2026: 504MQ3 2026: 618M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 260MQ2 2026: 504MQ3 2026: 618M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+23%+114M shares
1 year+489%+513M shares
3 years+1363%+576M shares
5 years+2983%+598M shares

ONDS has 618M diluted shares, up 489% from a year ago.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has the edge over ONDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ONDS Net Leverage

ONDS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ONDS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

ONDS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ONDS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricONDSSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ONDS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.3516% below
20 week MA$7.2326% below
50 week MA$8.9240% below
100 week MA$6.0812% below
200 week MA$3.5749% above

ONDS has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

ONDS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$18.0$18.00%
2020$18.0$7.65-57%
2021$7.65$7.16-6.4%
2022$7.16$1.69-76%
2023$1.69$1.53-9.5%
2024$1.53$2.59+69%
2025$2.59$8.48+227%
2026 YTD$8.48$5.32-37%

ONDS has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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