OCFC

OceanFirst Financial Corp.

45
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

OCFC's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 25x earnings, about twice its usual 12x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

OCFC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
N/A
N/A

OCFC's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OCFC.

OCFC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.5x13x19x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.5x13x19x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.4x$18.09—
Cheap8.9x$6.52-64%
Fair11x$8.38-54%
Expensive16x$11.65-36%
Current25x$18.09—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OCFC's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.4x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

OCFC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OCFC, but weaker profitability.

OCFC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$20.97
Downside-22%$14.07

Calculated from the latest close: $18.09 on Nov 12.

OCFC's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −22% against +16%.

OCFC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.70Q1 2024: $1.71Q2 2024: $1.66Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.53Q2 2025: $1.41Q3 2025: $1.29Q4 2025: $1.17Q1 2026: $1.18Q2 2026: $0.86Q3 2026: $0.73Forward: $2.16
Q4 2023: $1.70Q1 2024: $1.71Q2 2024: $1.66Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.53Q2 2025: $1.41Q3 2025: $1.29Q4 2025: $1.17Q1 2026: $1.18Q2 2026: $0.86Q3 2026: $0.73Forward: $2.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.16+196%
Q3 2026$0.73-43%
Q2 2026$0.86-39%
Q1 2026$1.18-23%
Q4 2025$1.17-29%
Q3 2025$1.29-26%
Q2 2025$1.41-15%
Q1 2025$1.53-11%
Q4 2024$1.65-2.9%

OCFC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.73 over the past year, against $2.46 in early 2023.

OCFC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $100MQ1 2024: $99MQ2 2024: $93MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $96MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $131MQ3 2026: $185M
Q4 2023: $100MQ1 2024: $99MQ2 2024: $93MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $96MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $103MQ2 2026: $131MQ3 2026: $185M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$185.1M+80%
Q2 2026$131.3M+32%
Q1 2026$103.2M+5.4%
Q4 2025$104.7M+9.6%
Q3 2025$103M+6.3%
Q2 2025$99.4M+6.6%
Q1 2025$97.9M-0.6%
Q4 2024$95.6M-4.1%

OCFC's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $185M last quarter, up 80% from the same quarter a year ago.

OCFC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: −$23MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: −$28MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: −$23MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$128M+461%
Q2 2026$33.5M+23%
Q1 2026$23.3M+$26.9M
Q4 2025$33.1M-23%
Q3 2025$22.8M+$46.3M
Q2 2025$27.2M+39%
Q1 2025-$3.6M-108%
Q4 2024$43.2M+$71.7M

OCFC's free cash flow was $218M over the past year, up 143% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OCFC.

OCFC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 98M
Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 98M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+40%+27.9M shares
1 year+72%+41.1M shares
3 years+66%+39M shares
5 years+65%+38.6M shares
Available history+93%+47.4M shares

OCFC has 98M diluted shares, up 72% from a year ago.

OCFC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 6.3xQ2 2024: 7.1xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 7.1xQ2 2025: 7.8xQ3 2025: 14.4xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 26.1xQ3 2026: 24.1x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 6.3xQ2 2024: 7.1xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 7.1xQ2 2025: 7.8xQ3 2025: 14.4xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 12.8xQ2 2026: 26.1xQ3 2026: 24.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202624.1xHigh
Q2 202626.1xHigh
Q1 202612.8xHigh
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 202514.4xHigh
Q2 20257.8xHigh
Q1 20257.1xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low

OCFC's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 14 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OCFC.

OCFC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.8Neutral
Stochastic55.4Neutral

OCFC's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

OCFC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOCFCSector medianRelative
PE25x13x90% above
PE %1006337 pts above

OCFC is trading at 25x earnings, a 90% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OCFC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.15.9% above
20 week MA$18.31.4% below
50 week MA$18.62.5% below
100 week MA$18.10.2% above
200 week MA$17.53.1% above

OCFC's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 3.1% above its 200-week average.

OCFC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.3$18.7-26%
2021$18.7$22.0+18%
2022$22.0$21.5-2.4%
2023$21.5$17.4-19%
2024$17.4$17.7+1.8%
2025$17.7$19.8+12%
2026 YTD$19.8$18.1-8.5%

OCFC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 8.5% so far in 2026.

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