OC

Owens Corning

42
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

OC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over OC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

OC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

OC's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OC PE Valuation

OC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OC's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over OC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

OC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$151.15
Downside-22%$91.19

Calculated from the latest close: $117.53 on Nov 12.

OC trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.14Q1 2024: $12.37Q2 2024: $11.83Q3 2024: $11.77Q4 2024: $7.37Q1 2025: $2.89Q2 2025: $3.90Q3 2025: $-5.67Q4 2025: $-6.22Q1 2026: $-6.43Q2 2026: $-7.88Q3 2026: $-5.14Forward: $7.80
Q4 2023: $13.14Q1 2024: $12.37Q2 2024: $11.83Q3 2024: $11.77Q4 2024: $7.37Q1 2025: $2.89Q2 2025: $3.90Q3 2025: $-5.67Q4 2025: $-6.22Q1 2026: $-6.43Q2 2026: $-7.88Q3 2026: $-5.14Forward: $7.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.80—
Q3 2026-$5.14+$0.53
Q2 2026-$7.88-302%
Q1 2026-$6.43-322%
Q4 2025-$6.22-184%
Q3 2025-$5.67-148%
Q2 2025$3.90-67%
Q1 2025$2.89-77%
Q4 2024$7.37-44%

OC lost $5.14 per share over the past year, about the same as its loss the year before.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW has the edge over OC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B-7.3%
Q2 2026$2.8B+0.3%
Q1 2026$2.3B-10%
Q4 2025$2.1B-25%
Q3 2025$2.7B-12%
Q2 2025$2.7B-1.5%
Q1 2025$2.5B+10%
Q4 2024$2.8B+23%

OC's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $2.5B last quarter, down 7.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over OC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $562MQ1 2024: −$128MQ2 2024: $336MQ3 2024: $558MQ4 2024: $479MQ1 2025: −$252MQ2 2025: $129MQ3 2025: $752MQ4 2025: $333MQ1 2026: −$387MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $622M
Q4 2023: $562MQ1 2024: −$128MQ2 2024: $336MQ3 2024: $558MQ4 2024: $479MQ1 2025: −$252MQ2 2025: $129MQ3 2025: $752MQ4 2025: $333MQ1 2026: −$387MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $622M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$622M-17%
Q2 2026$199M+54%
Q1 2026-$387M-$135M
Q4 2025$333M-30%
Q3 2025$752M+35%
Q2 2025$129M-62%
Q1 2025-$252M-$124M
Q4 2024$479M-15%

OC has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

OC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 91MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 86MQ2 2025: 86MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 84MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 81MQ3 2026: 79M
Q4 2023: 91MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 86MQ2 2025: 86MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 84MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 81MQ3 2026: 79M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-1.9M shares
1 year-5.6%-4.7M shares
3 years-13%-12.2M shares
5 years-24%-25.2M shares
Available history-29%-31.4M shares

OC has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

OC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 4.3xQ4 2025: 4.2xQ1 2026: 6.2xQ2 2026: 5.3xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 4.3xQ4 2025: 4.2xQ1 2026: 6.2xQ2 2026: 5.3xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20265.3xHigh
Q1 20266.2xHigh
Q4 20254.2xHigh
Q3 20254.3xHigh
Q2 20252.8xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

OC's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.3 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic21.6Neutral

OC's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

OC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricOCSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

OC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$117.90.3% below
20 week MA$133.012% below
50 week MA$124.95.9% below
100 week MA$135.113% below
200 week MA$140.316% below

OC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

OC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$65.2$78.4+20%
2021$78.4$88.8+13%
2022$88.8$88.2-0.7%
2023$88.2$148.2+68%
2024$148.2$170.6+15%
2025$170.6$113.7-33%
2026 YTD$113.7$117.5+3.3%

OC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 3.3% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over OC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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