NYT

The New York Times Company

69
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

NYT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has a slight edge over NYT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NYT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

NYT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NYT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x67x89x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x67x89x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$71.46—
Current29x$71.46—
Cheap30x$74.74+4.6%
Fair35x$86.99+22%
Expensive51x$127+78%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NYT's PE is in its cheap range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT has the edge over NYT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NYT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NYT, with profitability improving.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RDDT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NYT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$88.67
Downside-11%$63.85

Calculated from the latest close: $71.46 on Nov 12.

NYT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDDT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT trails NYT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NYT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.40Q1 2024: $1.51Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.93Q3 2025: $2.04Q4 2025: $2.09Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $3.12
Q4 2023: $1.40Q1 2024: $1.51Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.70Q4 2024: $1.77Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.93Q3 2025: $2.04Q4 2025: $2.09Q1 2026: $2.33Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $2.50Forward: $3.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.12+25%
Q3 2026$2.50+23%
Q2 2026$2.40+24%
Q1 2026$2.33+27%
Q4 2025$2.09+18%
Q3 2025$2.04+20%
Q2 2025$1.93+18%
Q1 2025$1.83+21%
Q4 2024$1.77+26%

NYT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 23% for NYT versus RDDT down 39%.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NYT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $676MQ1 2024: $594MQ2 2024: $625MQ3 2024: $640MQ4 2024: $727MQ1 2025: $636MQ2 2025: $686MQ3 2025: $701MQ4 2025: $802MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $762MQ3 2026: $769M
Q4 2023: $676MQ1 2024: $594MQ2 2024: $625MQ3 2024: $640MQ4 2024: $727MQ1 2025: $636MQ2 2025: $686MQ3 2025: $701MQ4 2025: $802MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $762MQ3 2026: $769M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$768.5M+9.7%
Q2 2026$762.5M+11%
Q1 2026$712.2M+12%
Q4 2025$802.3M+10%
Q3 2025$700.8M+9.5%
Q2 2025$685.9M+9.7%
Q1 2025$635.9M+7.1%
Q4 2024$726.6M+7.5%

NYT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $769M last quarter, up 9.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over NYT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NYT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $90MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $200MQ4 2025: $158MQ1 2026: $82MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $170M
Q4 2023: $130MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $90MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $200MQ4 2025: $158MQ1 2026: $82MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $170M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$170.1M-15%
Q2 2026$184.2M+78%
Q1 2026$81.5M-9.3%
Q4 2025$157.6M+9.7%
Q3 2025$199.7M+69%
Q2 2025$103.3M+42%
Q1 2025$89.9M+93%
Q4 2024$143.6M+10%

NYT generated $593M in free cash flow over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over NYT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NYT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 164MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 164MQ2 2026: 163MQ3 2026: 162M
Q4 2023: 166MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 166MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 164MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 164MQ2 2026: 163MQ3 2026: 162M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-790K shares
1 year-1.3%-2.1M shares
3 years-1.9%-3.2M shares
5 years-3.7%-6.3M shares
Available history-3.3%-5.5M shares

NYT has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NYT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

NYT has more cash than debt.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over NYT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NYT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic65.4Neutral

NYT's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

NYT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNYTSector medianRelative
PE29x16x73% above
PE %112615 pts below

NYT is trading at 29x earnings, a 73% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT has the edge over NYT on valuation relative to its sector.

NYT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$67.55.8% above
20 week MA$68.93.7% above
50 week MA$72.71.7% below
100 week MA$63.612% above
200 week MA$54.531% above

NYT has stronger trend alignment. NYT is above 4 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.

NYT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.1$51.4+60%
2021$51.4$47.4-7.7%
2022$47.4$33.0-30%
2023$33.0$49.0+48%
2024$49.0$53.2+8.6%
2025$53.2$70.2+32%
2026 YTD$70.2$71.5+1.9%

NYT has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

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