NXST

Nexstar Media Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation15/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

NXST has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

VZ

Verizon Communications Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VZ has a slight edge over NXST overall, supported by stronger valuation.

NXST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Weak

NXST's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

VZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure

VZ's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NXST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x44x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.7x$84.87-59%
Forward7.9x$206—
Fair9.5x$105-49%
Expensive17x$182-11%
Current19x$206—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NXST's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$32.43-30%
Forward9x$46.55—
Fair11x$43.63-6.3%
Current12x$46.55—
Expensive14x$56.75+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VZ has the edge over NXST in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NXST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NXST, but weaker profitability.

VZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VZ's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

NXST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$290.19
Downside-13%$178.81

Calculated from the latest close: $205.97 on Nov 12.

NXST has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VZ, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$54.56
Downside-17%$38.49

Calculated from the latest close: $46.55 on Nov 12.

VZ trails NXST on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NXST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.64Q1 2024: $11.83Q2 2024: $12.73Q3 2024: $17.30Q4 2024: $21.41Q1 2025: $19.62Q2 2025: $19.14Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $3.00Q1 2026: $4.72Q2 2026: $5.27Q3 2026: $11.05Forward: $26.18
Q4 2023: $9.64Q1 2024: $11.83Q2 2024: $12.73Q3 2024: $17.30Q4 2024: $21.41Q1 2025: $19.62Q2 2025: $19.14Q3 2025: $16.01Q4 2025: $3.00Q1 2026: $4.72Q2 2026: $5.27Q3 2026: $11.05Forward: $26.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.18+137%
Q3 2026$11.05-31%
Q2 2026$5.27-72%
Q1 2026$4.72-76%
Q4 2025$3.00-86%
Q3 2025$16.01-7.5%
Q2 2025$19.14+50%
Q1 2025$19.62+66%
Q4 2024$21.41+122%

NXST's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $11.05 over the past year, against $25.00 in late 2022.

VZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
Q4 2023: $2.75Q1 2024: $2.67Q2 2024: $2.66Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $4.14Q1 2025: $4.20Q2 2025: $4.29Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $4.06Q1 2026: $4.11Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $3.93Forward: $5.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.19+32%
Q3 2026$3.93-16%
Q2 2026$3.85-10%
Q1 2026$4.11-2.1%
Q4 2025$4.06-1.9%
Q3 2025$4.68+103%
Q2 2025$4.29+61%
Q1 2025$4.20+57%
Q4 2024$4.14+51%

VZ has the edge over NXST on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NXST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.1B+78%
Q2 2026$2B+62%
Q1 2026$1.4B+13%
Q4 2025$1.3B-13%
Q3 2025$1.2B-12%
Q2 2025$1.2B-3.2%
Q1 2025$1.2B-3.9%
Q4 2024$1.5B+14%

NXST's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $2.1B last quarter, up 78% from the same quarter a year ago.

VZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
Q4 2023: $35.1BQ1 2024: $33BQ2 2024: $32.8BQ3 2024: $33.3BQ4 2024: $35.7BQ1 2025: $33.5BQ2 2025: $34.5BQ3 2025: $33.8BQ4 2025: $36.4BQ1 2026: $34.4BQ2 2026: $34.3BQ3 2026: $34.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.3B+1.5%
Q2 2026$34.3B-0.7%
Q1 2026$34.4B+2.9%
Q4 2025$36.4B+2%
Q3 2025$33.8B+1.5%
Q2 2025$34.5B+5.2%
Q1 2025$33.5B+1.5%
Q4 2024$35.7B+1.6%

VZ's revenue has held roughly level: $34.3B last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

NXST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: $376MQ1 2025: $302MQ2 2025: $218MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $267MQ2 2026: $253MQ3 2026: $634M
Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $358MQ4 2024: $376MQ1 2025: $302MQ2 2025: $218MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $267MQ2 2026: $253MQ3 2026: $634M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$634M+629%
Q2 2026$253M+16%
Q1 2026$267M-12%
Q4 2025$136M-64%
Q3 2025$87M-76%
Q2 2025$218M+57%
Q1 2025$302M+30%
Q4 2024$376M+158%

NXST's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.3B over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

VZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $7.1BQ2 2024: $9.5BQ3 2024: $9.9BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $9.1BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.4BQ3 2026: $11.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.5B+2.2%
Q2 2026$10.4B+16%
Q1 2026$8B+2.6%
Q4 2025$9.1B-13%
Q3 2025$11.3B+14%
Q2 2025$9B-5.4%
Q1 2025$7.8B+9.9%
Q4 2024$10.4B+20%

VZ's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $39B over the past year, up 1.5% from the year before.

NXST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+105K shares
1 year+1.2%+364K shares
3 years-12%-4.4M shares
5 years-29%-12.5M shares
Available history-35%-16.9M shares

NXST has 31M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

VZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.2BQ3 2024: 4.2BQ4 2024: 4.2BQ1 2025: 4.2BQ2 2025: 4.2BQ3 2025: 4.2BQ4 2025: 4.2BQ1 2026: 4.2BQ2 2026: 4.2BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-10M shares
1 year-1.7%-72M shares
3 years-1.3%-55M shares
5 years+0.4%+17M shares
Available history+0.5%+21M shares

VZ has the edge over NXST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NXST Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.0xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 9.2xQ2 2026: 8.3xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.0xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 9.2xQ2 2026: 8.3xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20268.3xHigh
Q1 20269.2xHigh
Q4 20254.6xHigh
Q3 20253.3xElevated
Q2 20253.1xElevated
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

NXST's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago.

VZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.0xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

VZ has the edge over NXST on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NXST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.8Neutral
Stochastic69.7Neutral

NXST's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

VZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic44.6Neutral

VZ's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

NXST PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNXSTSector medianRelative
PE19x16x13% above
PE %862660 pts above

NXST is trading at 19x earnings, a 13% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

VZ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricVZSector medianRelative
PE12x16x28% below
PE %582632 pts above

VZ has the edge over NXST on valuation relative to its sector.

NXST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$172.320% above
20 week MA$177.316% above
50 week MA$193.76.4% above
100 week MA$184.911% above
200 week MA$175.218% above

NXST is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 200-week average.

VZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.13.1% above
20 week MA$46.30.5% above
50 week MA$46.11.1% above
100 week MA$44.25.4% above
200 week MA$41.412% above

VZ is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 12% above its 200-week average.

NXST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$118.2$105.0-11%
2021$105.0$152.8+45%
2022$152.8$176.0+15%
2023$176.0$156.8-11%
2024$156.8$159.1+1.5%
2025$159.1$205.0+29%
2026 YTD$205.0$206.0+0.5%

NXST has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

VZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.5$58.8-4.4%
2021$58.8$52.7-10%
2022$52.7$38.4-27%
2023$38.4$37.7-1.8%
2024$37.7$39.9+5.9%
2025$39.9$40.5+1.4%
2026 YTD$40.5$46.6+15%

VZ has the edge over NXST on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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