NXST
Nexstar Media Group, Inc.
NXST has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT has the edge over NXST overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
NXST Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
NXST's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
RDDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NXST PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.7x | $84.87 | -59% |
| Forward | 7.9x | $206 | — |
| Fair | 9.5x | $105 | -49% |
| Expensive | 17x | $182 | -11% |
| Current | 19x | $206 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NXST's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RDDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $99.55 | — |
| Current | 20x | $99.55 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $171 | +72% |
| Fair | 46x | $228 | +129% |
| Expensive | 53x | $262 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDDT has the edge over NXST in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NXST Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NXST, but weaker profitability.
RDDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
RDDT has the edge over NXST on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
NXST Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.18 | +137% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.05 | -31% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.27 | -72% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.72 | -76% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.00 | -86% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.01 | -7.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.14 | +50% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.62 | +66% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.41 | +122% |
NXST has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 31% for NXST versus RDDT down 39%.
RDDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.98 | -$7.17 |
| Q2 2024 | -$8.19 | -$7.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$8.38 | -$7.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.56 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.81 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.04 | -$0.48 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.13 | -$0.48 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.97 | -$0.19 |
RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
NXST Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.1B | +78% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -13% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | -3.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | -3.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | +14% |
NXST's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $2.1B last quarter, up 78% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 25% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | -9.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | -9.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -1.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +10 points |
NXST's operating margin was 25% last quarter, up 10 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RDDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $895M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $804.9M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $663.4M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $725.6M | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.9M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.6M | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.4M | +61% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.7M | +71% |
RDDT has the edge over NXST on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +27 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1% | +244 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +11 points |
RDDT has the edge over NXST on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NXST Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $634M | +629% |
| Q2 2026 | $253M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $267M | -12% |
| Q4 2025 | $136M | -64% |
| Q3 2025 | $87M | -76% |
| Q2 2025 | $218M | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $302M | +30% |
| Q4 2024 | $376M | +158% |
NXST's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.3B over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
RDDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.6M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.7M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.2M | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $263.6M | +196% |
| Q3 2025 | $183.1M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $110.8M | +308% |
| Q1 2025 | $126.6M | +333% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.2M | +$111.2M |
RDDT has the edge over NXST on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NXST Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +105K shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +364K shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -4.4M shares |
| 5 years | -29% | -12.5M shares |
| Available history | -35% | -16.9M shares |
NXST has 31M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $50M |
| Q1 2025 | $75M |
| Q4 2024 | $178M |
| Q3 2024 | $177M |
| Q2 2024 | $135M |
| Q1 2024 | $111M |
RDDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -169K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -868K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
RDDT has the edge over NXST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $234.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $5M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
NXST Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.4x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 8.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 9.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
NXST's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago.
RDDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -13.1x | Net Cash |
RDDT has the edge over NXST on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NXST Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 69.7 | Neutral |
NXST's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).
RDDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
NXST PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NXST | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 16x | 13% above |
| PE % | 86 | 26 | 60 pts above |
NXST has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.
RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | RDDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 16x | 23% above |
| PE % | 5 | 23 | 18 pts below |
RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.
NXST Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $172.3 | 20% above |
| 20 week MA | $177.3 | 16% above |
| 50 week MA | $193.7 | 6.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $184.9 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $175.2 | 18% above |
NXST has stronger trend alignment. NXST is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.
RDDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $151.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.0 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $167.1 | 40% below |
RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.
NXST Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $118.2 | $105.0 | -11% |
| 2021 | $105.0 | $152.8 | +45% |
| 2022 | $152.8 | $176.0 | +15% |
| 2023 | $176.0 | $156.8 | -11% |
| 2024 | $156.8 | $159.1 | +1.5% |
| 2025 | $159.1 | $205.0 | +29% |
| 2026 YTD | $205.0 | $206.0 | +0.5% |
NXST has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $46.0 | $173.5 | +277% |
| 2025 | $173.5 | $225.8 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $225.8 | $99.6 | -56% |
RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.