NXPI

NXP Semiconductors N.V.

77
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NXPI has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over NXPI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

NXPI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

NXPI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

NXPI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE337x674x1011x1348x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE337x674x1011x1348x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$267—
Cheap19x$237-11%
Current21x$267—
Fair24x$302+13%
Expensive59x$745+179%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NXPI's PE is in its fair range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR has the edge over NXPI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NXPI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NXPI, with profitability improving.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PLTR, with profitability improving.

NXPI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$373.34
Downside-18%$219.26

Calculated from the latest close: $267.29 on Nov 12.

NXPI trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NXPI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NXPI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.70Q1 2024: $10.82Q2 2024: $10.69Q3 2024: $10.47Q4 2024: $9.73Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $8.39Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $7.95Q1 2026: $10.46Q2 2026: $11.73Q3 2026: $12.73Forward: $17.59
Q4 2023: $10.70Q1 2024: $10.82Q2 2024: $10.69Q3 2024: $10.47Q4 2024: $9.73Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $8.39Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $7.95Q1 2026: $10.46Q2 2026: $11.73Q3 2026: $12.73Forward: $17.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.59+38%
Q3 2026$12.73+58%
Q2 2026$11.73+40%
Q1 2026$10.46+14%
Q4 2025$7.95-18%
Q3 2025$8.08-23%
Q2 2025$8.39-22%
Q1 2025$9.18-15%
Q4 2024$9.73-9.1%

NXPI earned $12.73 per share over the past year, up 58% from the year before.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over NXPI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NXPI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.8B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.8B+19%
Q2 2026$3.5B+19%
Q1 2026$3.2B+12%
Q4 2025$3.3B+7.2%
Q3 2025$3.2B-2.4%
Q2 2025$2.9B-6.4%
Q1 2025$2.8B-9.3%
Q4 2024$3.1B-9.1%

NXPI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $3.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over NXPI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NXPI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $962MQ1 2024: $625MQ2 2024: $576MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $261MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $696MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $793MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $791MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $962MQ1 2024: $625MQ2 2024: $576MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $261MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $696MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $793MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $791MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+137%
Q2 2026$791M+14%
Q1 2026$714M+68%
Q4 2025$793M+204%
Q3 2025$508M-14%
Q2 2025$696M+21%
Q1 2025$426M-32%
Q4 2024$261M-73%

NXPI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $3.5B over the past year, up 85% from the year before.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over NXPI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NXPI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 261MQ1 2024: 259MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 258MQ4 2024: 258MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 254MQ3 2025: 254MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 254MQ3 2026: 254M
Q4 2023: 261MQ1 2024: 259MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 258MQ4 2024: 258MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 254MQ3 2025: 254MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 254MQ3 2026: 254M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-190K shares
1 year-0.2%-479K shares
3 years-2.8%-7.3M shares
5 years-6.5%-17.5M shares
Available history-11%-32.1M shares

NXPI has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NXPI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

NXPI's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has the edge over NXPI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NXPI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.5Neutral
Stochastic72.1Neutral

NXPI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

NXPI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNXPISector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %36351 pt above

NXPI has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NXPI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$243.69.7% above
20 week MA$244.89.2% above
50 week MA$244.69.3% above
100 week MA$227.218% above
200 week MA$222.420% above

NXPI has the edge over PLTR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 106% above its 200-week average.

NXPI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$128.2$157.3+23%
2021$157.3$227.4+45%
2022$227.4$157.7-31%
2023$157.7$229.7+46%
2024$229.7$213.8-6.9%
2025$213.8$222.9+4.3%
2026 YTD$222.9$267.3+20%

NXPI has the edge over PLTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +361% in 2024 to −67% in 2022. It's down 9.1% so far in 2026.

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