NWSA
News Corporation
NWSA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT has a slight edge over NWSA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
NWSA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
NWSA's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
RDDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NWSA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 14x | $16.11 | -39% |
| Forward | 18x | $26.27 | — |
| Current | 24x | $26.27 | — |
| Fair | 32x | $36.05 | +37% |
| Expensive | 65x | $72.57 | +176% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NWSA's PE is in its cheap range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
RDDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $99.55 | — |
| Current | 20x | $99.55 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $171 | +72% |
| Fair | 46x | $228 | +129% |
| Expensive | 53x | $262 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDDT has the edge over NWSA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NWSA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NWSA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RDDT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NWSA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.44 | +28% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.12 | -46% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.03 | -50% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.01 | +134% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.03 | +178% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.07 | +234% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.08 | +352% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.86 | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.73 | +87% |
RDDT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 46% for NWSA versus RDDT down 39%.
RDDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.98 | -$7.17 |
| Q2 2024 | -$8.19 | -$7.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$8.38 | -$7.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.56 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.81 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.04 | -$0.48 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.13 | -$0.48 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.97 | -$0.19 |
RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
NWSA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.3B | +6.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2B | +8.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B | +5.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | -17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.1B | -18% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.2B | -13% |
NWSA's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $2.3B last quarter, up 6.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +5.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.7% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | -3.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.9% | +2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.3% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | +4.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +8.5 points |
NWSA's operating margin was 13% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RDDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $895M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $804.9M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $663.4M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $725.6M | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.9M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.6M | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.4M | +61% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.7M | +71% |
RDDT has the edge over NWSA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +27 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1% | +244 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +11 points |
RDDT has the edge over NWSA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NWSA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$89M | -2325% |
| Q2 2026 | $276M | +763% |
| Q1 2026 | $399M | -4.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $132M | -13% |
| Q3 2025 | $4M | +$35M |
| Q2 2025 | $32M | -71% |
| Q1 2025 | $418M | -0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $152M | -39% |
NWSA usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$89M, but it generated $718M over the past year.
RDDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.6M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.7M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.2M | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $263.6M | +196% |
| Q3 2025 | $183.1M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $110.8M | +308% |
| Q1 2025 | $126.6M | +333% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.2M | +$111.2M |
RDDT has the edge over NWSA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NWSA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.8% | -15.7M shares |
| 1 year | -4.3% | -24.2M shares |
| 3 years | -5.5% | -31.4M shares |
| 5 years | -8.7% | -51.7M shares |
| Available history | -8.1% | -47.6M shares |
NWSA has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $166M |
| Q2 2026 | $185M |
| Q1 2026 | $192M |
| Q4 2025 | $172M |
| Q3 2025 | $92M |
| Q2 2025 | $36M |
| Q1 2025 | $36M |
| Q4 2024 | $40M |
NWSA spent $715M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
RDDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -169K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -868K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $234.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $5M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
NWSA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
NWSA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
RDDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -13.1x | Net Cash |
RDDT has the edge over NWSA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NWSA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.2 | Neutral |
NWSA's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).
RDDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
NWSA PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NWSA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 16x | 43% above |
| PE % | 32 | 26 | 6 pts above |
NWSA is trading at 24x earnings, a 43% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | RDDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 16x | 23% above |
| PE % | 5 | 23 | 18 pts below |
RDDT has the edge over NWSA on valuation relative to its sector.
NWSA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $28.6 | 8.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $28.7 | 8.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $26.7 | 1.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $27.4 | 4% below |
| 200 week MA | $25.2 | 4.1% above |
NWSA has stronger trend alignment. NWSA is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.
RDDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $151.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.0 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $167.1 | 40% below |
RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.
NWSA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.2 | $17.8 | +26% |
| 2021 | $17.8 | $22.3 | +25% |
| 2022 | $22.3 | $18.3 | -18% |
| 2023 | $18.3 | $24.6 | +34% |
| 2024 | $24.6 | $27.8 | +13% |
| 2025 | $27.8 | $26.2 | -5.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $26.2 | $26.3 | +0.2% |
NWSA has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $46.0 | $173.5 | +277% |
| 2025 | $173.5 | $225.8 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $225.8 | $99.6 | -56% |
RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.