NWS

News Corporation

62
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NWS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over NWS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NWS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Strong

NWS's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NWS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x81x107x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x81x107x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$16.11-45%
Forward20x$29.17—
Current24x$29.17—
Fair32x$36.05+24%
Expensive65x$72.57+149%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NWS's PE is 24x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT has the edge over NWS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NWS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NWS, with profitability improving.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RDDT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NWS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$35.90
Downside-18%$23.88

Calculated from the latest close: $29.17 on Nov 12.

NWS trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NWS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NWS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.39Q1 2024: $0.35Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $0.62Q4 2024: $0.73Q1 2025: $0.86Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $2.07Q4 2025: $2.03Q1 2026: $2.01Q2 2026: $1.03Q3 2026: $1.12Forward: $1.44
Q4 2023: $0.39Q1 2024: $0.35Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $0.62Q4 2024: $0.73Q1 2025: $0.86Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $2.07Q4 2025: $2.03Q1 2026: $2.01Q2 2026: $1.03Q3 2026: $1.12Forward: $1.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.44+28%
Q3 2026$1.12-46%
Q2 2026$1.03-50%
Q1 2026$2.01+134%
Q4 2025$2.03+178%
Q3 2025$2.07+234%
Q2 2025$2.08+352%
Q1 2025$0.86+146%
Q4 2024$0.73+87%

RDDT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 46% for NWS versus RDDT down 39%.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NWS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+6.4%
Q2 2026$2.3B+11%
Q1 2026$2.2B+8.8%
Q4 2025$2.4B+5.5%
Q3 2025$2.1B-17%
Q2 2025$2.1B-18%
Q1 2025$2B-17%
Q4 2024$2.2B-13%

NWS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $2.3B last quarter, up 6.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over NWS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NWS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $248MQ1 2024: $422MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: −$31MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $418MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $132MQ1 2026: $399MQ2 2026: $276MQ3 2026: −$89M
Q4 2023: $248MQ1 2024: $422MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: −$31MQ4 2024: $152MQ1 2025: $418MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $132MQ1 2026: $399MQ2 2026: $276MQ3 2026: −$89M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$89M-2325%
Q2 2026$276M+763%
Q1 2026$399M-4.5%
Q4 2025$132M-13%
Q3 2025$4M+$35M
Q2 2025$32M-71%
Q1 2025$418M-0.9%
Q4 2024$152M-39%

NWS usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$89M, but it generated $718M over the past year.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over NWS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NWS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 574MQ1 2024: 574MQ2 2024: 574MQ3 2024: 571MQ4 2024: 570MQ1 2025: 570MQ2 2025: 570MQ3 2025: 567MQ4 2025: 562MQ1 2026: 556MQ2 2026: 558MQ3 2026: 543M
Q4 2023: 574MQ1 2024: 574MQ2 2024: 574MQ3 2024: 571MQ4 2024: 570MQ1 2025: 570MQ2 2025: 570MQ3 2025: 567MQ4 2025: 562MQ1 2026: 556MQ2 2026: 558MQ3 2026: 543M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.8%-15.7M shares
1 year-4.3%-24.2M shares
3 years-5.5%-31.4M shares
5 years-8.7%-51.7M shares
Available history-8.1%-47.6M shares

NWS has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NWS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.1xVery low

NWS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over NWS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NWS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.4Neutral
Stochastic10.8Oversold

NWS's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

NWS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNWSSector medianRelative
PE24x16x43% above
PE %32266 pts above

NWS is trading at 24x earnings, a 43% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT has the edge over NWS on valuation relative to its sector.

NWS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.57.4% below
20 week MA$32.19% below
50 week MA$30.33.6% below
100 week MA$31.16.1% below
200 week MA$27.56% above

NWS has stronger trend alignment. NWS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.

NWS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$17.7+22%
2021$17.7$22.6+28%
2022$22.6$18.6-18%
2023$18.6$25.7+39%
2024$25.7$30.8+20%
2025$30.8$29.9-3%
2026 YTD$29.9$29.2-2.3%

NWS has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

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