NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

ZVRA

Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.

79
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

ZVRA has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ZVRA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ZVRA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over ZVRA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ZVRA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.4x13x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.4x$7.75-31%
Current9.2x$11.16—
Fair11x$13.47+21%
Forward14x$11.16—
Expensive24x$28.69+157%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ZVRA's PE is in its fair range at 9.2x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 14x, in its expensive range.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ZVRA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

ZVRA has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails ZVRA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ZVRA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$18.54
Downside-23%$8.59

Calculated from the latest close: $11.16 on Nov 12.

ZVRA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over ZVRA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ZVRA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.32Q1 2024: $-1.38Q2 2024: $-1.71Q3 2024: $-2.00Q4 2024: $-2.34Q1 2025: $-2.00Q2 2025: $-0.31Q3 2025: $0.37Q4 2025: $1.35Q1 2026: $2.01Q2 2026: $0.94Q3 2026: $1.21Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-1.32Q1 2024: $-1.38Q2 2024: $-1.71Q3 2024: $-2.00Q4 2024: $-2.34Q1 2025: $-2.00Q2 2025: $-0.31Q3 2025: $0.37Q4 2025: $1.35Q1 2026: $2.01Q2 2026: $0.94Q3 2026: $1.21Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82-32%
Q3 2026$1.21+227%
Q2 2026$0.94+$1.25
Q1 2026$2.01+$4.01
Q4 2025$1.35+$3.69
Q3 2025$0.37+$2.37
Q2 2025-$0.31+$1.40
Q1 2025-$2.00-$0.62
Q4 2024-$2.34-$1.02

ZVRA earned $1.21 per share over the past year, about three times what it earned the year before.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ZVRA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$37.8M+45%
Q2 2026$39.7M+53%
Q1 2026$36.2M+78%
Q4 2025$34.1M+183%
Q3 2025$26.1M+605%
Q2 2025$25.9M+482%
Q1 2025$20.4M+496%
Q4 2024$12M-8.9%

ZVRA has the edge over NVO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

ZVRA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$16MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: −$16MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.8M+136%
Q2 2026$16.8M+$20.6M
Q1 2026$6.1M+$14.4M
Q4 2025$5.5M+$21.8M
Q3 2025$4.2M+$22.3M
Q2 2025-$3.8M+$15.3M
Q1 2025-$8.3M+$7.8M
Q4 2024-$16.3M-$20K

ZVRA has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over ZVRA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ZVRA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+396K shares
1 year+10%+5.8M shares
3 years+78%+27M shares
5 years+75%+26.5M shares
Available history+3231%+59.9M shares

ZVRA has 62M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ZVRA Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2021-14.1xNet Cash
Q3 2021-17.3xNet Cash
Q2 2021-15.3xNet Cash
Q1 2021-14.1xNet Cash

ZVRA has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

ZVRA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic45.9Neutral

ZVRA's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

ZVRA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricZVRASector medianRelative
PE9.2x26x64% below
PE %402911 pts above

ZVRA has the edge over NVO on valuation relative to its sector.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

ZVRA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.74.8% above
20 week MA$11.31.5% below
50 week MA$10.47.3% above
100 week MA$9.6616% above
200 week MA$7.7245% above

ZVRA has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

ZVRA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.69$11.5+72%
2021$11.5$8.97-22%
2022$8.97$4.29-52%
2023$4.29$6.55+53%
2024$6.55$8.39+28%
2025$8.39$8.87+5.7%
2026 YTD$8.87$11.2+26%

ZVRA has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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