NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has the edge over ZLAB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ZLAB

Zai Lab Limited

40
Fundamentals26/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

ZLAB offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ZLAB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Unavailable

ZLAB's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ZLAB PE Valuation

ZLAB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ZLAB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ZLAB's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails ZLAB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ZLAB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$37.82
Downside-31%$17.97

Calculated from the latest close: $26.04 on Nov 12.

ZLAB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over ZLAB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ZLAB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.35Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $-0.30Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.26Q1 2025: $-0.25Q2 2025: $-0.21Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-0.16Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $-0.18Q3 2026: $-0.19
Q4 2023: $-0.35Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $-0.30Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.26Q1 2025: $-0.25Q2 2025: $-0.21Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-0.16Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $-0.18Q3 2026: $-0.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.19+$0.01
Q2 2026-$0.18+$0.03
Q1 2026-$0.17+$0.08
Q4 2025-$0.16+$0.10
Q3 2025-$0.20+$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.21+$0.09
Q1 2025-$0.25+$0.10
Q4 2024-$0.26+$0.09

ZLAB is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.19 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in late 2022.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over ZLAB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ZLAB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $66MQ1 2024: $87MQ2 2024: $101MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $109MQ1 2025: $106MQ2 2025: $110MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $128MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: $108M
Q4 2023: $66MQ1 2024: $87MQ2 2024: $101MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $109MQ1 2025: $106MQ2 2025: $110MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $128MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: $108M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$108.2M-6.8%
Q2 2026$106.3M-3.3%
Q1 2026$99.6M-6.5%
Q4 2025$127.6M+17%
Q3 2025$116.1M+14%
Q2 2025$110M+9.4%
Q1 2025$106.5M+22%
Q4 2024$109.1M+66%

ZLAB's revenue has held roughly level: $108M last quarter, down 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over ZLAB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ZLAB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$15MQ1 2024: −$91MQ2 2024: −$43MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$58MQ1 2025: −$63MQ2 2025: −$34MQ3 2025: −$35MQ4 2025: −$27MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: −$65MQ3 2026: −$59M
Q4 2023: −$15MQ1 2024: −$91MQ2 2024: −$43MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$58MQ1 2025: −$63MQ2 2025: −$34MQ3 2025: −$35MQ4 2025: −$27MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: −$65MQ3 2026: −$59M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$58.8M-$23.8M
Q2 2026-$64.7M-$30.8M
Q1 2026-$13.1M+$50.1M
Q4 2025-$26.7M+$31.7M
Q3 2025-$35M-$6.9M
Q2 2025-$33.9M+$9M
Q1 2025-$63.2M+$27.8M
Q4 2024-$58.4M-$43.2M

ZLAB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$163M over the past year, against −$191M the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over ZLAB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ZLAB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 966MQ1 2024: 973MQ2 2024: 976MQ3 2024: 982MQ4 2024: 989MQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 966MQ1 2024: 973MQ2 2024: 976MQ3 2024: 982MQ4 2024: 989MQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+6.4M shares
1 year+1.9%+21.3M shares
3 years+16%+155M shares

ZLAB has 1.1B diluted shares, up 1.9% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ZLAB Net Leverage

ZLAB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

ZLAB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.3Neutral
Stochastic60.8Neutral

ZLAB's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

ZLAB PE vs Healthcare Sector

ZLAB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

ZLAB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$24.46.8% above
20 week MA$23.511% above
50 week MA$20.825% above
100 week MA$25.90.5% above
200 week MA$25.80.8% above

ZLAB has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

ZLAB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.3$133.8+232%
2021$133.8$65.8-51%
2022$65.8$30.8-53%
2023$30.8$27.3-11%
2024$27.3$26.6-2.6%
2025$26.6$18.3-31%
2026 YTD$18.3$26.0+42%

ZLAB has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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