NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has the edge over XTNT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

XTNT

Xtant Medical Holdings, Inc.

42
Fundamentals28/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

XTNT offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

XTNT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

XTNT's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

XTNT PE Valuation

XTNT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XTNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

XTNT has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails XTNT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

XTNT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$0.42
Downside-36%$0.18

Calculated from the latest close: $0.28 on Nov 12.

XTNT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over XTNT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

XTNT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.02Q4 2023: $0.01Q1 2024: $0.00Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.12Q4 2024: $-0.12Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.04Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $0.03Q1 2026: $0.01Q2 2026: $-0.08
Q3 2023: $0.02Q4 2023: $0.01Q1 2024: $0.00Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.12Q4 2024: $-0.12Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.04Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $0.03Q1 2026: $0.01Q2 2026: $-0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.08-$0.04
Q1 2026$0.01+$0.10
Q4 2025$0.03+$0.15
Q3 2025$0.01+$0.13
Q2 2025-$0.04-$0.03
Q1 2025-$0.09-$0.09
Q4 2024-$0.12-1300%
Q3 2024-$0.12-700%

XTNT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.08 per share over the past year, against $5.15 at its worst in late 2019.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over XTNT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XTNT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $25MQ4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $23M
Q3 2023: $25MQ4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $23M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$23M-35%
Q1 2026$20.9M-37%
Q4 2025$32.4M+2.7%
Q3 2025$33.3M+19%
Q2 2025$35.4M+18%
Q1 2025$32.9M+18%
Q4 2024$31.5M+12%
Q3 2024$27.9M+12%

XTNT's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $23M last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over XTNT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

XTNT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$4MQ4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$7,000Q1 2025: $87,000Q2 2025: $910,000Q3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$8M
Q3 2023: −$4MQ4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$7,000Q1 2025: $87,000Q2 2025: $910,000Q3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$7.6M-930%
Q1 2026-$2.3M-2753%
Q4 2025$5M+$5M
Q3 2025$4.2M+$8M
Q2 2025$910K+$6.6M
Q1 2025$87K+$6.6M
Q4 2024-$7K+$1.3M
Q3 2024-$3.8M+$235K

XTNT has burned cash in most quarters: −$696,000 over the past year, against −$3M the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

XTNT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 136MQ4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 130MQ2 2024: 130MQ3 2024: 135MQ4 2024: 134MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 149MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 150MQ1 2026: 140MQ2 2026: 140M
Q3 2023: 136MQ4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 130MQ2 2024: 130MQ3 2024: 135MQ4 2024: 134MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 149MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 150MQ1 2026: 140MQ2 2026: 140M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+200K shares
1 year-5.6%-8.3M shares
3 years+29%+31.4M shares
5 years+62%+53.6M shares
Available history+966%+127M shares

XTNT has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

XTNT Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.0x
Q2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20253.4xElevated
Q2 2021-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2021-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 202010.9xHigh
Q3 202066.6xHigh

XTNT has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

XTNT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic5.3Oversold

XTNT's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

XTNT PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricXTNTSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

XTNT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has the edge over XTNT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

XTNT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.319.7% below
20 week MA$0.3520% below
50 week MA$0.4943% below
100 week MA$0.5448% below
200 week MA$0.6959% below

XTNT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 59% below its 200-week average.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over XTNT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XTNT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.67$1.20-28%
2021$1.20$0.66-45%
2022$0.66$0.660%
2023$0.66$1.13+71%
2024$1.13$0.46-59%
2025$0.46$0.78+70%
2026 YTD$0.78$0.28-64%

XTNT has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 64% so far in 2026.

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