NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has a slight edge over XNCR overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

XNCR

Xencor, Inc.

45
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

XNCR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

XNCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Strong

XNCR's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

XNCR PE Valuation

XNCR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XNCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect XNCR's losses to grow, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails XNCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

XNCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$55.02
Downside-31%$26.29

Calculated from the latest close: $38.13 on Nov 12.

XNCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over XNCR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

XNCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.20Q1 2024: $-2.38Q2 2024: $-3.10Q3 2024: $-3.42Q4 2024: $-3.58Q1 2025: $-3.04Q2 2025: $-2.36Q3 2025: $-1.72Q4 2025: $-1.24Q1 2026: $-2.29Q2 2026: $-2.17Q3 2026: $-1.59
Q4 2023: $-2.20Q1 2024: $-2.38Q2 2024: $-3.10Q3 2024: $-3.42Q4 2024: $-3.58Q1 2025: $-3.04Q2 2025: $-2.36Q3 2025: $-1.72Q4 2025: $-1.24Q1 2026: $-2.29Q2 2026: $-2.17Q3 2026: $-1.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.59+$0.13
Q2 2026-$2.17+$0.19
Q1 2026-$2.29+$0.75
Q4 2025-$1.24+$2.34
Q3 2025-$1.72+$1.70
Q2 2025-$2.36+$0.74
Q1 2025-$3.04-$0.66
Q4 2024-$3.58-$1.38

XNCR is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.59 per share over the past year, against $3.58 at its worst in late 2024.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

XNCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $117M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $117M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$116.5M+455%
Q2 2026$51.2M+17%
Q1 2026$4.5M-86%
Q4 2025$28.2M-47%
Q3 2025$21M+18%
Q2 2025$43.6M+82%
Q1 2025$32.7M+105%
Q4 2024$52.8M+3.6%

XNCR's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $117M last quarter, up 455% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over XNCR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

XNCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$57MQ2 2024: −$70MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$52MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: −$31MQ4 2025: −$53MQ1 2026: −$68MQ2 2026: −$56MQ3 2026: $838,000
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$57MQ2 2024: −$70MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$52MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: −$31MQ4 2025: −$53MQ1 2026: −$68MQ2 2026: −$56MQ3 2026: $838,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$838K+$31.8M
Q2 2026-$56.2M-$19.4M
Q1 2026-$68.2M-$50.6M
Q4 2025-$52.9M-$1.4M
Q3 2025-$31M-$1.6M
Q2 2025-$36.8M+$33.6M
Q1 2025-$17.7M+$39.3M
Q4 2024-$51.5M-400%

XNCR has burned cash in most quarters: −$176M over the past year, against −$137M the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over XNCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XNCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 74MQ2 2025: 74MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 76MQ3 2026: 78M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 74MQ2 2025: 74MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 76MQ3 2026: 78M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+2.5M shares
1 year+5.3%+3.9M shares
3 years+29%+17.7M shares
5 years+34%+20M shares
Available history+34%+19.9M shares

XNCR has 78M diluted shares, up 5.3% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

XNCR Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2022-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2022-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2021-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2019-2.8xNet Cash

XNCR has more cash than debt.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

XNCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI81.4Overbought
Stochastic85.8Overbought

XNCR's weekly RSI is 81 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

XNCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricXNCRSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

XNCR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

XNCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.136% above
20 week MA$24.357% above
50 week MA$17.5118% above
100 week MA$15.0154% above
200 week MA$19.0101% above

XNCR has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

XNCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$46.1+30%
2021$46.1$40.7-12%
2022$40.7$26.1-36%
2023$26.1$21.2-19%
2024$21.2$24.3+14%
2025$24.3$15.2-37%
2026 YTD$15.2$38.1+151%

XNCR has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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