NVO
Novo Nordisk A/S
NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
XGN
Exagen Inc.
XGN has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
NVO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
XGN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
XGN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NVO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 10x | $40.65 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $53.56 | +32% |
| Fair | 27x | $103 | +154% |
| Expensive | 39x | $152 | +273% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
XGN PE Valuation
XGN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
XGN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
XGN has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
NVO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +4.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.07 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.42 | +1.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.47 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.71 | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.49 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.36 | +21% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.15 | +27% |
NVO has the edge over XGN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
XGN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.76 | +$0.16 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.82 | +$0.07 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.90 | -$0.06 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.93 | -$0.10 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.92 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.89 | +$0.08 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.84 | +$0.25 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.83 | +$0.51 |
XGN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.76 per share over the past year, against $2.77 at its worst in late 2022.
NVO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $11.7B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.4B | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.8B | -7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.1B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.4B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.7B | +30% |
| Q3 2024 | $10.6B | +21% |
NVO has the edge over XGN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 62% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | -16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 50% | +1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 43% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 47% | +1.6 points |
NVO has the edge over XGN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
XGN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.4M | +6.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.9M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.3M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.6M | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.2M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $17.2M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.5M | +7.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.7M | -0.8% |
XGN's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $18M last quarter, up 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | -8.6% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -20% | +2 points |
| Q4 2025 | -30% | -5.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -18% | +19 points |
| Q2 2025 | -15% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -22% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | +13 points |
XGN's operating margin was −24% last quarter, down 5.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $6.3B | +73% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.4B | -$4.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $4.6B | -2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +89% |
| Q4 2024 | -$632.6M | +$390.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $4.7B | +3.3% |
NVO has the edge over XGN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
XGN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.8M | -204% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.4M | +$6.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$10.6M | +$139K |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.1M | -1509% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7M | +$5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.1M | -$532K |
| Q1 2025 | -$10.8M | -$1.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $217K | -97% |
XGN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$13M over the past year, against −$11M the year before.
NVO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -12.9M shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -1.5% | -66.8M shares |
| 5 years | -3.8% | -177M shares |
| Available history | -6.5% | -311M shares |
NVO has the edge over XGN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $520M |
| Q1 2026 | $356.7M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $206.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
| Q3 2024 | $357.4M |
NVO spent $877M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 48% from the year before.
XGN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.8% | +685K shares |
| 1 year | +8.3% | +1.9M shares |
| 3 years | +40% | +7.2M shares |
| 5 years | +47% | +7.9M shares |
| Available history | +97% | +12.3M shares |
XGN has 25M diluted shares, up 8.3% from a year ago.
NVO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
XGN Net Leverage
XGN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NVO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.0 | Neutral |
NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
XGN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.4 | Neutral |
XGN's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | NVO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 26x | 60% below |
| PE % | 6 | 29 | 23 pts below |
NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.
XGN PE vs Healthcare Sector
XGN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.2 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $43.9 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.3 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.3 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $80.7 | 50% below |
NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.
XGN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.39 | 40% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.68 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $5.21 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $6.05 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $4.23 | 4.3% above |
XGN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4.3% above its 200-week average.
NVO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.1 | $34.7 | +19% |
| 2021 | $34.7 | $54.2 | +56% |
| 2022 | $54.2 | $67.0 | +24% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $103.5 | +54% |
| 2024 | $103.5 | $87.4 | -16% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $52.4 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $52.4 | $40.7 | -22% |
NVO has the edge over XGN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
XGN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.7 | $12.3 | -52% |
| 2021 | $12.3 | $11.0 | -10% |
| 2022 | $11.0 | $2.45 | -78% |
| 2023 | $2.45 | $1.99 | -19% |
| 2024 | $1.99 | $4.71 | +137% |
| 2025 | $4.71 | $6.13 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.13 | $4.41 | -28% |
XGN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +137% in 2024 to −78% in 2022. It's down 28% so far in 2026.