NVO
Novo Nordisk A/S
NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
XERS
Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc.
XERS has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NVO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
XERS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
XERS's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
NVO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 10x | $40.65 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $53.56 | +32% |
| Fair | 27x | $103 | +154% |
| Expensive | 39x | $152 | +273% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
XERS PE Valuation
XERS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
XERS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
XERS has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
NVO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +4.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.07 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.42 | +1.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.47 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.71 | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.49 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.36 | +21% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.15 | +27% |
NVO has the edge over XERS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
XERS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.34 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.04 | +$0.05 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.10 | +$0.10 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.07 | +$0.36 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.00 | +$0.37 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.09 | +$0.36 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.20 | +$0.23 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.29 | +$0.18 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.37 | +$0.08 |
XERS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.04 per share over the past year, against $4.80 at its worst in late 2019.
NVO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $11.7B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.4B | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.8B | -7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.1B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.4B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.7B | +30% |
| Q3 2024 | $10.6B | +21% |
NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 62% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | -16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 50% | +1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 43% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 47% | +1.6 points |
NVO has the edge over XERS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
XERS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $107.2M | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $92.1M | +29% |
| Q1 2026 | $83.1M | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $85.8M | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $74.4M | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $71.5M | +49% |
| Q1 2025 | $60.1M | +48% |
| Q4 2024 | $60.1M | +35% |
XERS has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.6% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.5% | +15 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +17 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.1% | +33 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.3% | +23 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5.1% | +30 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8% | +25 points |
XERS's operating margin was 16% last quarter, up 6.7 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
NVO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $6.3B | +73% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.4B | -$4.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $4.6B | -2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +89% |
| Q4 2024 | -$632.6M | +$390.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $4.7B | +3.3% |
NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.
XERS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $35.5M | +92% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.3M | +4440% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.9M | +$19.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $20M | +915% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.4M | +$26.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $182K | +$10.5M |
| Q1 2025 | -$10M | +$10.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $2M | -74% |
XERS has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NVO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -12.9M shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -1.5% | -66.8M shares |
| 5 years | -3.8% | -177M shares |
| Available history | -6.5% | -311M shares |
NVO has the edge over XERS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $520M |
| Q1 2026 | $356.7M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $206.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
| Q3 2024 | $357.4M |
NVO spent $877M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 48% from the year before.
XERS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.9% | +17.1M shares |
| 1 year | +6.9% | +12.3M shares |
| 3 years | +38% | +51.9M shares |
| 5 years | +186% | +124M shares |
| Available history | +603% | +163M shares |
XERS has 190M diluted shares, up 6.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | $365,000 |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | $63,000 |
| Q4 2019 | — |
NVO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
NVO has the edge over XERS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
XERS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 11.5x | High |
XERS's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 12 years a year ago.
NVO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.0 | Neutral |
NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
XERS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 85.9 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 93.8 | Overbought |
XERS's weekly RSI is 86 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 94 (overbought).
NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | NVO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 26x | 60% below |
| PE % | 6 | 29 | 23 pts below |
NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.
XERS PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | XERS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 26x | — |
XERS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.2 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $43.9 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.3 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.3 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $80.7 | 50% below |
NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.
XERS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.5 | 45% above |
| 20 week MA | $9.57 | 74% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.79 | 114% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.68 | 149% above |
| 200 week MA | $4.49 | 271% above |
XERS has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.1 | $34.7 | +19% |
| 2021 | $34.7 | $54.2 | +56% |
| 2022 | $54.2 | $67.0 | +24% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $103.5 | +54% |
| 2024 | $103.5 | $87.4 | -16% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $52.4 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $52.4 | $40.7 | -22% |
NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.
XERS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.45 | $5.45 | -27% |
| 2021 | $5.45 | $2.59 | -52% |
| 2022 | $2.59 | $1.26 | -51% |
| 2023 | $1.26 | $2.35 | +87% |
| 2024 | $2.35 | $3.43 | +46% |
| 2025 | $3.43 | $7.37 | +115% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.37 | $16.7 | +126% |
XERS has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.