NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has a slight edge over VNDA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

VNDA

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.

46
Fundamentals31/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

VNDA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

VNDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Strong

VNDA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

VNDA PE Valuation

VNDA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VNDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

VNDA has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails VNDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VNDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$6.43
Downside-38%$2.44

Calculated from the latest close: $3.95 on Nov 12.

VNDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over VNDA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VNDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.04Q1 2024: $-0.09Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.29Q4 2024: $-0.33Q1 2025: $-0.76Q2 2025: $-1.14Q3 2025: $-1.43Q4 2025: $-3.74Q1 2026: $-4.06Q2 2026: $-4.64Q3 2026: $-4.63
Q4 2023: $0.04Q1 2024: $-0.09Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.29Q4 2024: $-0.33Q1 2025: $-0.76Q2 2025: $-1.14Q3 2025: $-1.43Q4 2025: $-3.74Q1 2026: $-4.06Q2 2026: $-4.64Q3 2026: $-4.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$4.63-$3.20
Q2 2026-$4.64-$3.50
Q1 2026-$4.06-$3.30
Q4 2025-$3.74-$3.41
Q3 2025-$1.43-$1.14
Q2 2025-$1.14-$0.94
Q1 2025-$0.76-$0.67
Q4 2024-$0.33-925%

VNDA lost $4.63 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over VNDA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VNDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $56MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $50MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $56MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$69.8M+24%
Q2 2026$50.5M-3.9%
Q1 2026$51.7M+3.4%
Q4 2025$57.2M+7.6%
Q3 2025$56.3M+18%
Q2 2025$52.6M+4.2%
Q1 2025$50M+5.4%
Q4 2024$53.2M+17%

VNDA's revenue is growing: $70M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over VNDA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

VNDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$34MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: −$50MQ2 2026: −$31MQ3 2026: −$29M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$7MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$34MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: −$30MQ1 2026: −$50MQ2 2026: −$31MQ3 2026: −$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$28.7M+$3M
Q2 2026-$31.3M-$15.7M
Q1 2026-$50.4M-$16.9M
Q4 2025-$29.5M-$27.5M
Q3 2025-$31.8M-$17M
Q2 2025-$15.6M-$8.5M
Q1 2025-$33.6M-544%
Q4 2024-$2M+$2M

VNDA has burned cash in eight of the last eight quarters: −$140M over the past year, against −$83M the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over VNDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VNDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+239K shares
1 year+2.3%+1.4M shares
3 years+5%+2.9M shares
5 years+6%+3.4M shares
Available history+10%+5.6M shares

VNDA has 60M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

VNDA Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2023-80.1xNet Cash
Q2 2023-12.2xNet Cash
Q1 2023-18.9xNet Cash
Q4 2022-14.9xNet Cash
Q3 2022-4.5xNet Cash
Q2 2022-3.2xNet Cash
Q1 2022-2.5xNet Cash
Q4 2021-1.2xNet Cash

VNDA has more cash than debt.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

VNDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.3Neutral
Stochastic11.2Oversold

VNDA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

VNDA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricVNDASector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

VNDA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has the edge over VNDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VNDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.236.6% below
20 week MA$4.9220% below
50 week MA$6.1235% below
100 week MA$5.3726% below
200 week MA$5.3226% below

VNDA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over VNDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VNDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.8$13.3-21%
2021$13.3$18.0+35%
2022$18.0$6.87-62%
2023$6.87$4.22-39%
2024$4.22$4.81+14%
2025$4.81$7.04+46%
2026 YTD$7.04$3.95-44%

VNDA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 44% so far in 2026.

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