NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

USPH

U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

58
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

USPH has the edge over NVO overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

USPH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

USPH's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

USPH PE Valuation

USPH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

USPH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

USPH has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than USPH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

USPH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$124.17
Downside-20%$78.72

Calculated from the latest close: $98.60 on Nov 12.

USPH trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

USPH has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 4.9% for NVO versus USPH up 38%.

USPH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $1.84Q1 2025: $2.18Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $2.38Forward: $3.22
Q4 2024: $1.84Q1 2025: $2.18Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $2.38Forward: $3.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.22+35%
Q3 2023$1.72-42%
Q2 2023$1.93-34%
Q1 2023$2.16-25%
Q4 2022$2.25-6.6%
Q3 2022$2.98+26%
Q2 2022$2.92+26%
Q1 2022$2.87+15%
Q4 2021$2.41-2.8%

USPH earned $2.38 per share over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

USPH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $168MQ4 2024: $180MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $197MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $203MQ1 2026: $198MQ2 2026: $214MQ3 2026: $223M
Q4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $168MQ4 2024: $180MQ1 2025: $184MQ2 2025: $197MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $203MQ1 2026: $198MQ2 2026: $214MQ3 2026: $223M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$222.6M+13%
Q2 2026$214.1M+8.5%
Q1 2026$198.3M+7.9%
Q4 2025$202.7M+12%
Q3 2025$197.1M+17%
Q2 2025$197.3M+18%
Q1 2025$183.8M+18%
Q4 2024$180.4M+17%

USPH's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $223M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over USPH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

USPH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$20.7M+32%
Q2 2026$29M-8.2%
Q1 2026-$1.6M+$5.7M
Q4 2025$21M+24%
Q3 2025$15.6M-20%
Q2 2025$31.6M+19%
Q1 2025-$7.3M-381%
Q4 2024$16.9M-31%

USPH generated $69M in free cash flow over the past year, up 21% from the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

USPH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-142K shares
1 year-1.8%-276K shares
3 years-0.4%-59K shares
5 years+16%+2M shares
Available history+17%+2.2M shares

USPH has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over USPH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

USPH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.0xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

USPH's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

USPH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.9Overbought
Stochastic86.8Overbought

USPH's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

USPH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUSPHSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

USPH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

USPH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.911% above
20 week MA$82.120% above
50 week MA$78.126% above
100 week MA$79.125% above
200 week MA$88.412% above

USPH has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

USPH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$114.0$120.9+6%
2021$120.9$95.7-21%
2022$95.7$81.4-15%
2023$81.4$93.1+14%
2024$93.1$90.9-2.4%
2025$90.9$81.0-11%
2026 YTD$81.0$98.6+22%

USPH has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key