NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

URGN

UroGen Pharma Ltd.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

URGN has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

URGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

URGN's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

URGN PE Valuation

URGN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

URGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

URGN has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails URGN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

URGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$41.56
Downside-36%$16.99

Calculated from the latest close: $26.39 on Nov 12.

URGN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over URGN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

URGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.91Q1 2024: $-3.58Q2 2024: $-3.46Q3 2024: $-3.33Q4 2024: $-3.23Q1 2025: $-3.18Q2 2025: $-3.32Q3 2025: $-3.46Q4 2025: $-3.21Q1 2026: $-2.76Q2 2026: $-1.99Q3 2026: $-1.33Forward: $1.79
Q4 2023: $-3.91Q1 2024: $-3.58Q2 2024: $-3.46Q3 2024: $-3.33Q4 2024: $-3.23Q1 2025: $-3.18Q2 2025: $-3.32Q3 2025: $-3.46Q4 2025: $-3.21Q1 2026: $-2.76Q2 2026: $-1.99Q3 2026: $-1.33Forward: $1.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.79—
Q3 2026-$1.33+$2.13
Q2 2026-$1.99+$1.33
Q1 2026-$2.76+$0.42
Q4 2025-$3.21+$0.02
Q3 2025-$3.46-$0.13
Q2 2025-$3.32+$0.14
Q1 2025-$3.18+$0.40
Q4 2024-$3.23+$0.68

URGN is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.33 per share over the past year, against $6.40 at its worst in late 2020.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

URGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $51MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $89M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $51MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $89M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$89M+224%
Q2 2026$72.5M+199%
Q1 2026$51M+152%
Q4 2025$37.8M+54%
Q3 2025$27.5M+9%
Q2 2025$24.2M+11%
Q1 2025$20.3M+7.8%
Q4 2024$24.6M+4.4%

URGN has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over URGN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

URGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$14MQ1 2025: −$42MQ2 2025: −$40MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: −$38MQ1 2026: −$45MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$15M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$14MQ1 2025: −$42MQ2 2025: −$40MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: −$38MQ1 2026: −$45MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$15.3M+$27.1M
Q2 2026-$33.1M+$6.9M
Q1 2026-$45.4M-$3.3M
Q4 2025-$38.3M-$24.6M
Q3 2025-$42.4M-$14.6M
Q2 2025-$40M-$16.1M
Q1 2025-$42.1M-$10.3M
Q4 2024-$13.7M-$682K

URGN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$132M over the past year, against −$138M the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over URGN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

URGN Total Shares

Q1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 51M
Q1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+178K shares
1 year+5.2%+2.5M shares
3 years+115%+27.1M shares
5 years+126%+28.2M shares
Available history+146%+30M shares

URGN has 51M diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

URGN Net Leverage

URGN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

URGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.3Neutral
Stochastic3.5Oversold

URGN's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

URGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

URGN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

URGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.123% below
20 week MA$39.233% below
50 week MA$29.711% below
100 week MA$21.920% above
200 week MA$17.749% above

URGN has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

URGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.1$18.9-43%
2021$18.9$9.49-50%
2022$9.49$8.14-14%
2023$8.14$15.0+84%
2024$15.0$10.8-28%
2025$10.8$23.0+114%
2026 YTD$23.0$26.4+15%

URGN has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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