NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TVTX

Travere Therapeutics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

TVTX has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

TVTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Healthy
Strong

TVTX's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65โ€”
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TVTX PE Valuation

TVTX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TVTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

TVTX has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails TVTX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TVTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$76.59
Downside-31%$35.38

Calculated from the latest close: $51.56 on Nov 12.

TVTX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over TVTX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TVTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.61Q1 2024: $-2.10Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-4.55Q4 2024: $-4.08Q1 2025: $-2.79Q2 2025: $-2.02Q3 2025: $-1.04Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $-0.22Q2 2026: $-0.45Q3 2026: $-1.28Forward: $2.94
Q4 2023: $-1.61Q1 2024: $-2.10Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-4.55Q4 2024: $-4.08Q1 2025: $-2.79Q2 2025: $-2.02Q3 2025: $-1.04Q4 2025: $-0.29Q1 2026: $-0.22Q2 2026: $-0.45Q3 2026: $-1.28Forward: $2.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.94โ€”
Q3 2026-$1.28-$0.24
Q2 2026-$0.45+$1.57
Q1 2026-$0.22+$2.57
Q4 2025-$0.29+$3.79
Q3 2025-$1.04+$3.51
Q2 2025-$2.02-$0.14
Q1 2025-$2.79-$0.69
Q4 2024-$4.08-$2.47

TVTX is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.28 per share over the past year, against $4.56 at its worst in late 2021.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

TVTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $170MQ3 2026: $225M
Q4 2023: $45MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $114MQ3 2025: $165MQ4 2025: $130MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $170MQ3 2026: $225M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$224.6M+36%
Q2 2026$169.6M+48%
Q1 2026$127.2M+56%
Q4 2025$129.7M+73%
Q3 2025$164.9M+162%
Q2 2025$114.4M+111%
Q1 2025$81.7M+98%
Q4 2024$74.8M+66%

TVTX has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: โˆ’$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: โˆ’$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: โˆ’$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: โˆ’$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: โˆ’$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: โˆ’$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

TVTX has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 168% versus its history, compared with NVO at down 14%.

TVTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$70MQ1 2024: โˆ’$119MQ2 2024: โˆ’$40MQ3 2024: โˆ’$43MQ4 2024: โˆ’$36MQ1 2025: โˆ’$42MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: โˆ’$40MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: โˆ’$70MQ1 2024: โˆ’$119MQ2 2024: โˆ’$40MQ3 2024: โˆ’$43MQ4 2024: โˆ’$36MQ1 2025: โˆ’$42MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $61MQ1 2026: โˆ’$40MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$40.4M+$1.8M
Q4 2025$60.7M+$96.4M
Q3 2025$14.2M+$56.7M
Q1 2025-$42.2M+$76.8M
Q4 2024-$35.7M+$34.8M
Q2 2024-$40.3M+$29M
Q1 2024-$119M-$37.3M
Q4 2023-$70.5M-$15.8M

TVTX's free cash flow has turned positive after five years mostly in the red: $93M over the past year.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TVTX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 77MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 95M
Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 77MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 88MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 95M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+1.1M shares
1 year-7.8%-8M shares
3 years+24%+18.3M shares
5 years+56%+33.8M shares
Available history+123%+52.3M shares

TVTX has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TVTX Net Leverage

Q1 2026: -4.9xQ2 2026: -5.1x
Q1 2026: -4.9xQ2 2026: -5.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-5.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.9xNet Cash

TVTX has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

TVTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.4Neutral
Stochastic18.2Oversold

TVTX's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

TVTX PE vs Healthcare Sector

TVTX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

TVTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.51.7% below
20 week MA$57.611% below
50 week MA$45.214% above
100 week MA$32.957% above
200 week MA$22.8126% above

TVTX has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

TVTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.4$27.6+92%
2021$27.6$31.2+13%
2022$31.2$20.0-36%
2023$20.0$8.99-55%
2024$8.99$17.3+92%
2025$17.3$39.6+129%
2026 YTD$39.6$51.6+30%

TVTX has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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