NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TLRY

Tilray Brands, Inc.

56
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

TLRY has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

TLRY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

TLRY's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TLRY PE Valuation

TLRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TLRY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

TLRY has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails TLRY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TLRY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$4.17
Downside-39%$1.51

Calculated from the latest close: $2.49 on Nov 12.

TLRY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over TLRY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TLRY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-22.80Q1 2024: $-5.00Q2 2024: $-3.30Q3 2024: $-2.70Q4 2024: $-3.00Q1 2025: $-10.50Q2 2025: $-24.60Q3 2025: $-24.20Q4 2025: $-23.61Q1 2026: $-15.15Q2 2026: $-1.09Q3 2026: $-1.41
Q4 2023: $-22.80Q1 2024: $-5.00Q2 2024: $-3.30Q3 2024: $-2.70Q4 2024: $-3.00Q1 2025: $-10.50Q2 2025: $-24.60Q3 2025: $-24.20Q4 2025: $-23.61Q1 2026: $-15.15Q2 2026: $-1.09Q3 2026: $-1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.41+$22.79
Q2 2026-$1.09+$23.51
Q1 2026-$15.15-$4.65
Q4 2025-$23.61-$20.61
Q3 2025-$24.20-$21.50
Q2 2025-$24.60-$21.30
Q1 2025-$10.50-$5.50
Q4 2024-$3.00+$19.80

TLRY is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.41 per share over the past year, against $58.23 at its worst in mid-2020.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over TLRY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLRY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $188MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $210MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $282MQ3 2026: $257M
Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $188MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $210MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $282MQ3 2026: $257M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$257.1M+23%
Q2 2026$281.7M+25%
Q1 2026$206.7M+11%
Q4 2025$217.5M+3.1%
Q3 2025$209.5M+4.7%
Q2 2025$224.5M-2.3%
Q1 2025$185.8M-1.4%
Q4 2024$211M+8.9%

TLRY's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $257M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over TLRY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TLRY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$36MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: −$37MQ3 2026: −$17M
Q4 2023: −$36MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: −$37MQ3 2026: −$17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$16.5M-$15.2M
Q2 2026-$37.3M-$18.2M
Q1 2026-$21.9M-$1.8M
Q4 2025-$8.5M+$37.6M
Q3 2025-$1.3M+$40.7M
Q2 2025-$19.1M-191%
Q1 2025-$20.2M+$4.7M
Q4 2024-$46.2M-$9.9M

TLRY has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$84M over the past year, against −$87M the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over TLRY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TLRY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 112MQ3 2026: 133M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 112MQ3 2026: 133M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+19%+21.5M shares
1 year+26%+27.3M shares
3 years+93%+64.2M shares
5 years+197%+88.4M shares
Available history+1484%+125M shares

TLRY has 133M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TLRY Net Leverage

TLRY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

TLRY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.0Oversold
Stochastic6.8Oversold

TLRY's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

TLRY PE vs Healthcare Sector

TLRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has the edge over TLRY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TLRY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.1320% below
20 week MA$3.9036% below
50 week MA$5.8958% below
100 week MA$7.3966% below
200 week MA$13.982% below

TLRY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 82% below its 200-week average.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over TLRY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TLRY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$162.8$85.9-47%
2021$85.9$78.4-8.7%
2022$78.4$27.9-64%
2023$27.9$23.0-18%
2024$23.0$14.3-38%
2025$14.3$9.60-33%
2026 YTD$9.60$2.49-74%

TLRY has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 74% so far in 2026.

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