NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

THC

Tenet Healthcare Corporation

73
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

THC has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

THC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

THC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over THC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

THC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$207-28%
Current8.3x$287—
Fair11x$365+27%
Forward14x$287—
Expensive17x$590+106%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

THC's PE is in its cheap range at 8.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 14x, in its expensive range.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

THC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect THC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails THC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

THC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$386.92
Downside-18%$236.51

Calculated from the latest close: $286.86 on Nov 12.

THC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over THC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

THC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.71Q1 2024: $25.77Q2 2024: $27.26Q3 2024: $31.21Q4 2024: $32.70Q1 2025: $15.59Q2 2025: $16.09Q3 2025: $15.06Q4 2025: $15.49Q1 2026: $19.23Q2 2026: $25.93Q3 2026: $34.48Forward: $20.30
Q4 2023: $5.71Q1 2024: $25.77Q2 2024: $27.26Q3 2024: $31.21Q4 2024: $32.70Q1 2025: $15.59Q2 2025: $16.09Q3 2025: $15.06Q4 2025: $15.49Q1 2026: $19.23Q2 2026: $25.93Q3 2026: $34.48Forward: $20.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.30-41%
Q3 2026$34.48+129%
Q2 2026$25.93+61%
Q1 2026$19.23+23%
Q4 2025$15.49-53%
Q3 2025$15.06-52%
Q2 2025$16.09-41%
Q1 2025$15.59-40%
Q4 2024$32.70+473%

THC earned $34.48 per share over the past year, up 129% from the year before.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over THC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

THC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.4BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $5.5BQ1 2026: $5.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $5.6B
Q4 2023: $5.4BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $5.5BQ1 2026: $5.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $5.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.6B+6.5%
Q2 2026$5.6B+6.8%
Q1 2026$5.4B+2.8%
Q4 2025$5.5B+9%
Q3 2025$5.3B+3.3%
Q2 2025$5.3B+3.3%
Q1 2025$5.2B-2.7%
Q4 2024$5.1B-5.7%

THC's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $5.6B last quarter, up 6.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

THC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $346MQ2 2024: $602MQ3 2024: $829MQ4 2024: −$661MQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $743MQ3 2025: $778MQ4 2025: $367MQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $417MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $346MQ2 2024: $602MQ3 2024: $829MQ4 2024: −$661MQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $743MQ3 2025: $778MQ4 2025: $367MQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $417MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+39%
Q2 2026$417M-44%
Q1 2026$1.5B+128%
Q4 2025$367M+$1B
Q3 2025$778M-6.2%
Q2 2025$743M+23%
Q1 2025$642M+86%
Q4 2024-$661M-207%

THC generated $3.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 122% from the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

THC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 95MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 89MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 84MQ3 2026: 81M
Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 95MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 89MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 84MQ3 2026: 81M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4%-3.4M shares
1 year-9%-8M shares
3 years-23%-23.8M shares
5 years-26%-28.2M shares
Available history-22%-22.8M shares

THC has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over THC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

THC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.4xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20262.0xModerate
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.4xModerate
Q3 20252.4xModerate
Q2 20252.4xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

THC's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.4 years a year ago.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

THC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.8Overbought
Stochastic73.5Neutral

THC's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

THC PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricTHCSector medianRelative
PE8.3x26x68% below
PE %32293 pts above

THC has the edge over NVO on valuation relative to its sector.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

THC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$270.26.2% above
20 week MA$256.012% above
50 week MA$220.830% above
100 week MA$190.850% above
200 week MA$144.199% above

THC has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

THC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.3$40.1+4.9%
2021$40.1$79.3+98%
2022$79.3$46.6-41%
2023$46.6$75.6+62%
2024$75.6$128.0+69%
2025$128.0$200.6+57%
2026 YTD$200.6$286.9+43%

THC has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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