NVO
Novo Nordisk A/S
NVO has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TARS
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
TARS has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
NVO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
TARS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable |
TARS's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NVO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 10x | $40.65 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $53.56 | +32% |
| Fair | 27x | $103 | +154% |
| Expensive | 39x | $152 | +273% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
TARS PE Valuation
TARS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TARS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
TARS has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
NVO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +4.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.07 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.42 | +1.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.47 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.71 | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.49 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.36 | +21% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.15 | +27% |
NVO has the edge over TARS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
TARS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$15.16 | -$13.17 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.06 | +$1.24 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.11 | +$1.59 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.59 | +$1.48 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.99 | +$1.80 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.30 | +$2.16 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.70 | +$2.05 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.07 | +$1.55 |
TARS lost $15.16 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
NVO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $11.7B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.4B | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.8B | -7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.1B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.4B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.7B | +30% |
| Q3 2024 | $10.6B | +21% |
NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 62% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | -16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 50% | +1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 43% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 47% | +1.6 points |
NVO has the edge over TARS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TARS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $194.6M | +64% |
| Q2 2026 | $173.9M | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $162.1M | +107% |
| Q4 2025 | $151.7M | +128% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.7M | +147% |
| Q2 2025 | $102.7M | +152% |
| Q1 2025 | $78.3M | +184% |
| Q4 2024 | $66.4M | +408% |
TARS has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -340% | -328 points |
| Q2 2026 | -11% | +10 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8% | +30 points |
| Q4 2025 | -5.3% | +32 points |
| Q3 2025 | -12% | +40 points |
| Q2 2025 | -22% | +60 points |
| Q1 2025 | -34% | +103 points |
| Q4 2024 | -37% | +303 points |
TARS's operating margin was −340% last quarter, down 328 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $6.3B | +73% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.4B | -$4.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $4.6B | -2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +89% |
| Q4 2024 | -$632.6M | +$390.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $4.7B | +3.3% |
NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.
TARS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$7.2M | -144% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.2M | +$87.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$30.5M | -$9.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $13M | +$35.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $16.3M | +$25.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$30.4M | -$14.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$21.2M | +$16.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$22.3M | +$17.1M |
TARS's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $32M over the past year.
NVO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -12.9M shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -1.5% | -66.8M shares |
| 5 years | -3.8% | -177M shares |
| Available history | -6.5% | -311M shares |
NVO has the edge over TARS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $520M |
| Q1 2026 | $356.7M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $206.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
| Q3 2024 | $357.4M |
NVO spent $877M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 48% from the year before.
TARS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7% | +3M shares |
| 1 year | +9% | +3.8M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +15.8M shares |
| 5 years | +125% | +25.8M shares |
| Available history | +326% | +35.5M shares |
TARS has 46M diluted shares, up 9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | $1,000 |
| Q1 2020 | $27,000 |
| Q4 2019 | — |
NVO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TARS Net Leverage
TARS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NVO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.0 | Neutral |
NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
TARS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.3 | Neutral |
TARS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | NVO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 26x | 60% below |
| PE % | 6 | 29 | 23 pts below |
NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.
TARS PE vs Healthcare Sector
TARS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.2 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $43.9 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.3 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.3 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $80.7 | 50% below |
NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.
TARS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $72.3 | 6.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $70.3 | 9.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $69.2 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $60.9 | 26% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.9 | 79% above |
TARS has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.1 | $34.7 | +19% |
| 2021 | $34.7 | $54.2 | +56% |
| 2022 | $54.2 | $67.0 | +24% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $103.5 | +54% |
| 2024 | $103.5 | $87.4 | -16% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $52.4 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $52.4 | $40.7 | -22% |
NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.
TARS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20.6 | $44.0 | +114% |
| 2021 | $44.0 | $25.9 | -41% |
| 2022 | $25.9 | $14.5 | -44% |
| 2023 | $14.5 | $20.3 | +40% |
| 2024 | $20.3 | $55.0 | +172% |
| 2025 | $55.0 | $81.8 | +49% |
| 2026 YTD | $81.8 | $76.9 | -6% |
TARS has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.