NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

SUPN

Indivior Pharmaceuticals Inc

76
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

SUPN has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

SUPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

SUPN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SUPN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x299x449x598x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x299x449x598x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.4x$29.20—
Current8.2x$29.20—
Cheap18x$63.68+118%
Fair26x$91.92+215%
Expensive97x$347+1088%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SUPN has the edge over NVO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SUPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

SUPN has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails SUPN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SUPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$51.42
Downside-19%$23.56

Calculated from the latest close: $29.20 on Nov 12.

SUPN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over SUPN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SUPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.04Q1 2024: $0.17Q2 2024: $-0.83Q3 2024: $0.14Q4 2024: $0.21Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $1.00Q3 2025: $1.30Q4 2025: $1.64Q1 2026: $1.95Q2 2026: $2.79Q3 2026: $3.58Forward: $3.97
Q4 2023: $0.04Q1 2024: $0.17Q2 2024: $-0.83Q3 2024: $0.14Q4 2024: $0.21Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $1.00Q3 2025: $1.30Q4 2025: $1.64Q1 2026: $1.95Q2 2026: $2.79Q3 2026: $3.58Forward: $3.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.97+11%
Q3 2026$3.58+175%
Q2 2026$2.79+179%
Q1 2026$1.95+1293%
Q4 2025$1.64+681%
Q3 2025$1.30+829%
Q2 2025$1.00+$1.83
Q1 2025$0.14-18%
Q4 2024$0.21+425%

SUPN earned $3.58 per share over the past year, up 175% from the year before.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over SUPN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SUPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $293MQ1 2024: $284MQ2 2024: $299MQ3 2024: $307MQ4 2024: $299MQ1 2025: $266MQ2 2025: $302MQ3 2025: $314MQ4 2025: $358MQ1 2026: $317MQ2 2026: $343MQ3 2026: $356M
Q4 2023: $293MQ1 2024: $284MQ2 2024: $299MQ3 2024: $307MQ4 2024: $299MQ1 2025: $266MQ2 2025: $302MQ3 2025: $314MQ4 2025: $358MQ1 2026: $317MQ2 2026: $343MQ3 2026: $356M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$356M+13%
Q2 2026$343M+14%
Q1 2026$317M+19%
Q4 2025$358M+20%
Q3 2025$314M+2.3%
Q2 2025$302M+1%
Q1 2025$266M-6.3%
Q4 2024$299M+2%

SUPN's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $356M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

SUPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$299MQ1 2024: −$40MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$21MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: −$59MQ4 2025: −$245MQ1 2026: −$29MQ2 2026: $222MQ3 2026: $83M
Q4 2023: −$299MQ1 2024: −$40MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$21MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: −$59MQ4 2025: −$245MQ1 2026: −$29MQ2 2026: $222MQ3 2026: $83M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$83M+$142M
Q2 2026$222M+57%
Q1 2026-$29M-141%
Q4 2025-$245M-$224M
Q3 2025-$59M-$54M
Q2 2025$141M+68%
Q1 2025$70M+$110M
Q4 2024-$21M+$278M

SUPN has burned cash in most quarters: $31M over the past year, down 76% from the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SUPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 139MQ2 2024: 135MQ3 2024: 134MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 125MQ2 2025: 126MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 128MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 124MQ3 2026: 122M
Q4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 139MQ2 2024: 135MQ3 2024: 134MQ4 2024: 128MQ1 2025: 125MQ2 2025: 126MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 128MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 124MQ3 2026: 122M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-2M shares
1 year-5.4%-7M shares
3 years-11%-15.7M shares

SUPN has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SUPN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 20240.5xVery low

SUPN has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

SUPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.4Neutral
Stochastic32.2Neutral

SUPN's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

SUPN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSUPNSector medianRelative
PE8.2x26x68% below
PE %12928 pts below

SUPN has the edge over NVO on valuation relative to its sector.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

SUPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.319% below
20 week MA$37.322% below
50 week MA$35.818% below
100 week MA$26.311% above
200 week MA$21.934% above

SUPN has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

SUPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.83$6.90+144%
2021$6.90$17.8+157%
2022$17.8$22.0+24%
2023$22.0$15.3-31%
2024$15.3$12.4-19%
2025$12.4$36.2+192%
2026 YTD$36.2$29.2-19%

SUPN has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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