NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

STLN

Starling Oncology, Inc.

63
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

STLN has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

STLN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

STLN's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

STLN PE Valuation

STLN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

STLN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

STLN has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails STLN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

STLN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+90%$7.14
Downside-47%$1.98

Calculated from the latest close: $3.75 on Nov 12.

STLN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over STLN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

STLN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.92Q1 2024: $-0.81Q2 2024: $-0.79Q3 2024: $-0.78Q4 2024: $-0.71Q1 2025: $-0.70Q2 2025: $-0.68Q3 2025: $-0.64Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.28Q3 2026: $-0.27
Q4 2023: $-0.92Q1 2024: $-0.81Q2 2024: $-0.79Q3 2024: $-0.78Q4 2024: $-0.71Q1 2025: $-0.70Q2 2025: $-0.68Q3 2025: $-0.64Q4 2025: $-0.54Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.28Q3 2026: $-0.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.27+$0.37
Q2 2026-$0.28+$0.40
Q1 2026-$0.35+$0.35
Q4 2025-$0.54+$0.17
Q3 2025-$0.64+$0.14
Q2 2025-$0.68+$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.70+$0.11
Q4 2024-$0.71+$0.21

STLN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.27 per share over the past year, against $0.92 at its worst in late 2023.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

STLN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $161MQ3 2026: $170M
Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $100MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $147MQ2 2026: $161MQ3 2026: $170M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$169.8M+24%
Q2 2026$161.3M+35%
Q1 2026$147.4M+41%
Q4 2025$142M+42%
Q3 2025$136.6M+37%
Q2 2025$119.8M+22%
Q1 2025$104.4M+10%
Q4 2024$100.3M+17%

STLN has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

STLN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.9M+$22.1M
Q2 2026$11M+$22.4M
Q1 2026-$3.3M+$2.1M
Q4 2025$2.2M-3.2%
Q3 2025-$13.2M-1184%
Q2 2025-$11.4M+$6.1M
Q1 2025-$5.3M+$11.2M
Q4 2024$2.2M+$7M

STLN has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over STLN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

STLN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 74MQ2 2024: 75MQ3 2024: 76MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 77MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 105M
Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 74MQ2 2024: 75MQ3 2024: 76MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 77MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 105M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.6%+1.7M shares
1 year+7.4%+7.3M shares
3 years+43%+31.3M shares
5 years+1721%+99M shares

STLN has 105M diluted shares, up 7.4% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

STLN Net Leverage

STLN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

STLN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.7Neutral
Stochastic31.0Neutral

STLN's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

STLN PE vs Healthcare Sector

STLN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

STLN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.8336% below
20 week MA$5.8836% below
50 week MA$4.5317% below
100 week MA$3.497.4% above
200 week MA$2.2567% above

STLN has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

STLN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.84$10.8+9.8%
2021$10.8$10.4-3.3%
2022$10.4$1.60-85%
2023$1.60$2.04+27%
2024$2.04$0.32-84%
2025$0.32$3.64+1038%
2026 YTD$3.64$3.75+3%

STLN has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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