NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SPOK

Spok Holdings, Inc.

60
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation65/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

SPOK has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

SPOK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SPOK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over SPOK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SPOK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.1x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.6x$7.56-35%
Current13x$11.62—
Fair18x$15.91+37%
Expensive22x$19.16+65%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SPOK's PE is in its cheap range at 13x.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SPOK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SPOK to show an outlook.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SPOK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SPOK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$13.90
Downside-24%$8.78

Calculated from the latest close: $11.62 on Nov 12.

SPOK trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over SPOK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPOK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.83Q2 2024: $0.77Q3 2024: $0.73Q4 2024: $0.73Q1 2025: $0.77Q2 2025: $0.82Q3 2025: $0.79Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.59Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.83Q2 2024: $0.77Q3 2024: $0.73Q4 2024: $0.73Q1 2025: $0.77Q2 2025: $0.82Q3 2025: $0.79Q4 2025: $0.75Q1 2026: $0.59Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.88+11%
Q2 2026$0.57-30%
Q1 2026$0.59-23%
Q4 2025$0.75+2.7%
Q3 2025$0.79+8.2%
Q2 2025$0.82+6.5%
Q1 2025$0.77-7.2%
Q4 2024$0.73-5.2%

SPOK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.88 over the past year, against $1.81 in late 2023.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over SPOK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPOK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$33M-2.6%
Q2 2026$35M-1.9%
Q1 2026$33.2M-8.5%
Q4 2025$33.9M-0.1%
Q3 2025$33.9M-2.9%
Q2 2025$35.7M+5%
Q1 2025$36.3M+4%
Q4 2024$33.9M-0.2%

SPOK's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $33M last quarter, down 2.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over SPOK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPOK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.2M+62%
Q2 2026$5.9M-2%
Q1 2026$1.8M+22%
Q4 2025$10.1M+34%
Q3 2025$7.6M-26%
Q2 2025$6M-12%
Q1 2025$1.5M+34%
Q4 2024$7.5M-30%

SPOK generated $30M in free cash flow over the past year, up 33% from the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over SPOK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SPOK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+128K shares
1 year+0.9%+184K shares
3 years+4.5%+909K shares
5 years+9%+1.7M shares
Available history+11%+2.1M shares

SPOK has 21M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SPOK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

SPOK has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

SPOK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.2Neutral
Stochastic76.0Neutral

SPOK's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over SPOK on valuation relative to its sector.

SPOK PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSPOKSector medianRelative
PE13x26x49% below
PE %27292 pts below

SPOK is trading at 13x earnings, a 49% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

SPOK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.05.3% above
20 week MA$10.87.3% above
50 week MA$11.50.9% above
100 week MA$13.917% below
200 week MA$14.117% below

SPOK has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

SPOK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.1$11.0-9%
2021$11.0$8.72-21%
2022$8.72$8.24-5.5%
2023$8.24$15.5+88%
2024$15.5$16.2+4.8%
2025$16.2$13.0-20%
2026 YTD$13.0$11.6-10%

SPOK has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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