NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SNY

Sanofi

55
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SNY has the edge over NVO overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

SNY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

SNY's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over SNY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SNY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x93x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x69x93x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$5.73-88%
Fair19x$10.07-79%
Expensive31x$16.50-66%
Current89x$48.46—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNY's PE is 89x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SNY Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SNY to show an outlook.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SNY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$56.48
Downside-14%$41.73

Calculated from the latest close: $48.46 on Nov 12.

SNY trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over SNY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SNY Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.01Q4 2023: $2.39Q1 2024: $2.01Q2 2024: $1.88Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $2.66Q1 2025: $2.99Q2 2025: $4.27Q3 2025: $4.28Q4 2025: $2.27Q1 2026: $2.17Q2 2026: $0.54
Q3 2023: $4.01Q4 2023: $2.39Q1 2024: $2.01Q2 2024: $1.88Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $2.66Q1 2025: $2.99Q2 2025: $4.27Q3 2025: $4.28Q4 2025: $2.27Q1 2026: $2.17Q2 2026: $0.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.54-87%
Q1 2026$2.17-27%
Q4 2025$2.27-15%
Q3 2025$4.28+112%
Q2 2025$4.27+127%
Q1 2025$2.99+49%
Q4 2024$2.66+11%
Q3 2024$2.02-50%

SNY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.54 over the past year, against $5.47 in late 2020.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over SNY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SNY Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $14.1BQ4 2023: $13.6BQ1 2024: $10.8BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $15.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $11.8BQ2 2025: $11.9BQ3 2025: $14.6BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $12.5BQ2 2026: $13.7B
Q3 2023: $14.1BQ4 2023: $13.6BQ1 2024: $10.8BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $15.7BQ4 2024: $8.5BQ1 2025: $11.8BQ2 2025: $11.9BQ3 2025: $14.6BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $12.5BQ2 2026: $13.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$13.7B+15%
Q1 2026$12.5B+6%
Q4 2025$13.6B+60%
Q3 2025$14.6B-7%
Q2 2025$11.9B-5.7%
Q1 2025$11.8B+9%
Q4 2024$8.5B-37%
Q3 2024$15.7B+11%

SNY's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $13.7B last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

SNY Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $5.1BQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$459MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $4.3B
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $5.1BQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$459MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$4.3B+$4.3B
Q1 2026$1.9B-20%
Q4 2025$1.8B+$1.8B
Q3 2025$5.1B+$5.1B
Q2 2025$0+$458.7M
Q1 2025$2.3B+$2.3B
Q4 2024$0-100%
Q3 2024$0$0

SNY generated $13.1B in free cash flow over the past year, about six times what it generated the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SNY Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.5BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.5BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.5BQ2 2025: 2.5BQ3 2025: 2.5BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.5BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.5BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.5BQ2 2025: 2.5BQ3 2025: 2.5BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-15.2M shares
1 year-3%-74.6M shares
3 years-4.3%-108M shares
5 years-4.4%-111M shares
Available history-4.4%-111M shares

SNY has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over SNY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SNY Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.2x
Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20251.0xHealthy
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20241.0xVery low
Q2 20242.1xModerate

SNY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

SNY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.1Neutral
Stochastic86.8Overbought

SNY's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over SNY on valuation relative to its sector.

SNY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSNYSector medianRelative
PE89x26x244% above
PE %1002971 pts above

SNY is trading at 89x earnings, a 244% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

SNY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.913% above
20 week MA$43.412% above
50 week MA$45.17.5% above
100 week MA$47.91.1% above
200 week MA$49.41.9% below

SNY has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

SNY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.9$47.5-6.7%
2021$47.5$49.8+5%
2022$49.8$48.5-2.6%
2023$48.5$49.7+2.5%
2024$49.7$48.7-2%
2025$48.7$48.5-0.5%
2026 YTD$48.5$48.50%

SNY has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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