NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SKIN

SkinHealth Systems Inc.

60
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

SKIN has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

SKIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

SKIN's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SKIN PE Valuation

SKIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SKIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SKIN's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails SKIN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SKIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+90%$30.34
Downside-47%$8.39

Calculated from the latest close: $15.96 on Nov 12.

SKIN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over SKIN in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

SKIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-15.20Q1 2025: $-7.86Q2 2025: $-5.26Q3 2025: $-4.06Q4 2025: $-3.20Q1 2026: $-2.60Q2 2026: $-3.60Q3 2026: $-1.94
Q4 2023: $-15.20Q1 2025: $-7.86Q2 2025: $-5.26Q3 2025: $-4.06Q4 2025: $-3.20Q1 2026: $-2.60Q2 2026: $-3.60Q3 2026: $-1.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.94+$2.12
Q2 2026-$3.60+$1.66
Q1 2026-$2.60+$5.26

SKIN is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.94 per share over the past year, against $99.60 at its worst in early 2022.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over SKIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SKIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $97MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $97MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$69.2M-2.1%
Q2 2026$72.1M-7.8%
Q1 2026$64.9M-6.7%
Q4 2025$82.4M-1.3%
Q3 2025$70.7M-10%
Q2 2025$78.2M-14%
Q1 2025$69.6M-15%
Q4 2024$83.5M-14%

SKIN's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $69M last quarter, down 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over SKIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SKIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.2M+16%
Q2 2026$2.2M-77%
Q1 2026-$5.8M-296%
Q4 2025$15.1M-8.2%
Q3 2025$9.6M-6.7%
Q2 2025$9.6M+63%
Q1 2025$3M+$20.1M
Q4 2024$16.4M+$21.6M

SKIN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $23M over the past year.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over SKIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SKIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 7M
Q4 2023: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 7M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+30.3K shares
1 year+2.6%+166K shares
3 years-1.9%-126K shares
5 years+1032%+5.9M shares

SKIN has 7M diluted shares, up 2.6% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SKIN Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -7,050.7xQ1 2026: -21.9xQ2 2026: -13.5xQ3 2026: -4.8x
Q4 2025: -7,050.7xQ1 2026: -21.9xQ2 2026: -13.5xQ3 2026: -4.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-13.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-21.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7,050.7xNet Cash

SKIN has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

SKIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic58.5Neutral

SKIN's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

SKIN PE vs Healthcare Sector

SKIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

SKIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.528% above
20 week MA$13.617% above
50 week MA$18.112% below
100 week MA$25.237% below
200 week MA$64.375% below

SKIN has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over SKIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SKIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$204.2$223.0+9.2%
2021$223.0$463.0+108%
2022$463.0$180.8-61%
2023$180.8$62.2-66%
2024$62.2$32.4-48%
2025$32.4$29.2-9.9%
2026 YTD$29.2$16.0-45%

SKIN has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 45% so far in 2026.

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