NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

SIBN

SI-BONE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

SIBN has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

SIBN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

SIBN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SIBN PE Valuation

SIBN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SIBN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SIBN has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails SIBN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SIBN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$32.64
Downside-25%$17.99

Calculated from the latest close: $24.14 on Nov 12.

SIBN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over SIBN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SIBN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.13Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.00Q3 2024: $-0.91Q4 2024: $-0.75Q1 2025: $-0.63Q2 2025: $-0.55Q3 2025: $-0.50Q4 2025: $-0.44Q1 2026: $-0.39Q2 2026: $-0.34Q3 2026: $-0.31
Q4 2023: $-1.13Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.00Q3 2024: $-0.91Q4 2024: $-0.75Q1 2025: $-0.63Q2 2025: $-0.55Q3 2025: $-0.50Q4 2025: $-0.44Q1 2026: $-0.39Q2 2026: $-0.34Q3 2026: $-0.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.31+$0.19
Q2 2026-$0.34+$0.21
Q1 2026-$0.39+$0.24
Q4 2025-$0.44+$0.31
Q3 2025-$0.50+$0.41
Q2 2025-$0.55+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.63+$0.45
Q4 2024-$0.75+$0.38

SIBN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.31 per share over the past year, against $1.98 at its worst in mid-2022.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

SIBN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $56M
Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $56M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$55.7M+14%
Q2 2026$56M+15%
Q1 2026$52.6M+11%
Q4 2025$56.3M+15%
Q3 2025$48.7M+21%
Q2 2025$48.6M+22%
Q1 2025$47.3M+25%
Q4 2024$49M+26%

SIBN has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over SIBN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SIBN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$620,000Q4 2025: $440,000Q1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$768,000Q3 2026: −$427,000
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$9MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$620,000Q4 2025: $440,000Q1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$768,000Q3 2026: −$427,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$427K+$193K
Q2 2026-$768K+$1.2M
Q1 2026-$3.4M+$3.5M
Q4 2025$440K+$1.5M
Q3 2025-$620K+$2.1M
Q2 2025-$1.9M+$7.5M
Q1 2025-$7M+$2.7M
Q4 2024-$1.1M+$2.3M

SIBN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4M over the past year, against −$11M the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over SIBN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SIBN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 44MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 44MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+422K shares
1 year+4%+1.7M shares
3 years+12%+4.6M shares
5 years+35%+11.6M shares
Available history+82%+20.2M shares

SIBN has 45M diluted shares, up 4% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SIBN Net Leverage

SIBN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

SIBN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.9Overbought
Stochastic76.7Neutral

SIBN's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

SIBN PE vs Healthcare Sector

SIBN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

SIBN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.916% above
20 week MA$19.325% above
50 week MA$17.141% above
100 week MA$16.645% above
200 week MA$17.538% above

SIBN has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

SIBN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.1$30.3+43%
2021$30.3$21.9-28%
2022$21.9$11.8-46%
2023$11.8$21.0+78%
2024$21.0$13.7-35%
2025$13.7$20.4+48%
2026 YTD$20.4$24.1+19%

SIBN has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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