NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 15% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 43%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

SI

SHOULDER INNOVATIONS, INC.

There isn't enough reported data to score SI yet.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

SI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SI's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SI PE Valuation

SI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

SI has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NVO and SI's risk to reward.

SI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $21.08 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NVO and SI's risk to reward.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over SI in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

SI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.64Q1 2024: $-0.63Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2024: $-0.78Q1 2025: $-0.83
Q4 2023: $-0.64Q1 2024: $-0.63Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.72Q4 2024: $-0.78Q1 2025: $-0.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q1 2025-$0.83-$0.20
Q4 2024-$0.78-$0.14

SI lost $0.83 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

SI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.2M+38%
Q2 2026$17.2M+56%
Q1 2026$16.7M+65%
Q4 2025$14.4M+65%
Q3 2025$11.8M+58%
Q2 2025$11M+33%
Q1 2025$10.1M+41%
Q4 2024$8.7M+28%

SI has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

SI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7M+$4.4M
Q1 2026-$15.1M-$7.8M
Q1 2025-$7.3M-$2.5M

SI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$43M over the past year, against −$27M the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over SI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+109K shares
1 year+4.6%+921K shares
3 years+4.6%+921K shares

SI has 21M diluted shares, up 4.6% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SI Net Leverage

SI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

SI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.4Neutral
Stochastic52.6Neutral

SI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

SI PE vs Healthcare Sector

SI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

SI has stronger trend alignment. NVO is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus SI above 3 of 3.

SI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.110% above
20 week MA$20.05.3% above
50 week MA$16.925% above

SI is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 25% above its 50-week average.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

SI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$14.3$15.3+7%
2026 YTD$15.3$21.1+38%

SI has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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