NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has a slight edge over SGRY overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

SGRY

Surgery Partners, Inc.

47
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

SGRY offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

SGRY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

SGRY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SGRY PE Valuation

SGRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

NVO has the edge over SGRY on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

SGRY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SGRY's revenue and profitability to decline, with its earnings holding steady.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails SGRY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SGRY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$39.14
Downside-32%$18.00

Calculated from the latest close: $26.58 on Nov 12.

SGRY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over SGRY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SGRY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $-0.26Q3 2024: $-0.47Q4 2024: $-1.33Q1 2025: $-1.53Q2 2025: $-1.43Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-0.61Q1 2026: $-0.59Q2 2026: $-0.69Q3 2026: $-0.67Forward: $0.35
Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $-0.26Q3 2024: $-0.47Q4 2024: $-1.33Q1 2025: $-1.53Q2 2025: $-1.43Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-0.61Q1 2026: $-0.59Q2 2026: $-0.69Q3 2026: $-0.67Forward: $0.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.35—
Q3 2026-$0.67+$0.69
Q2 2026-$0.69+$0.74
Q1 2026-$0.59+$0.94
Q4 2025-$0.61+$0.72
Q3 2025-$1.36-$0.89
Q2 2025-$1.43-$1.17
Q1 2025-$1.53-15400%
Q4 2024-$1.33-$1.24

SGRY is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.67 per share over the past year, against $3.67 at its worst in late 2020.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over SGRY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SGRY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $735MQ1 2024: $717MQ2 2024: $762MQ3 2024: $770MQ4 2024: $864MQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $826MQ3 2025: $822MQ4 2025: $885MQ1 2026: $811MQ2 2026: $849MQ3 2026: $815M
Q4 2023: $735MQ1 2024: $717MQ2 2024: $762MQ3 2024: $770MQ4 2024: $864MQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $826MQ3 2025: $822MQ4 2025: $885MQ1 2026: $811MQ2 2026: $849MQ3 2026: $815M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$815.3M-0.8%
Q2 2026$848.9M+2.7%
Q1 2026$810.9M+4.5%
Q4 2025$885M+2.4%
Q3 2025$821.5M+6.6%
Q2 2025$826.2M+8.4%
Q1 2025$776M+8.2%
Q4 2024$864.4M+18%

SGRY's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $815M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

SGRY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $79M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $64MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $79M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$79M+24%
Q2 2026$37.5M-35%
Q1 2026-$4.3M+$12.4M
Q4 2025$90.6M+1.7%
Q3 2025$63.8M+42%
Q2 2025$57.9M+3.6%
Q1 2025-$16.7M-185%
Q4 2024$89.1M+108%

SGRY has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over SGRY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SGRY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 126MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 127MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 127MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 129M
Q4 2023: 126MQ1 2024: 126MQ2 2024: 126MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 127MQ2 2025: 127MQ3 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 127MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 129M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+40K shares
1 year+1.3%+1.7M shares
3 years+2.5%+3.1M shares
5 years+86%+59.6M shares
Available history+167%+80.6M shares

SGRY has 129M diluted shares, up 1.3% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over SGRY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SGRY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 6.2xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 6.2xQ1 2025: 6.8xQ2 2025: 6.4xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 6.1xQ1 2026: 6.2xQ2 2026: 6.3xQ3 2026: 5.0x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 6.2xQ3 2024: 6.3xQ4 2024: 6.2xQ1 2025: 6.8xQ2 2025: 6.4xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 6.1xQ1 2026: 6.2xQ2 2026: 6.3xQ3 2026: 5.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.0xHigh
Q2 20266.3xHigh
Q1 20266.2xHigh
Q4 20256.1xHigh
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20256.4xHigh
Q1 20256.8xHigh
Q4 20246.2xHigh

SGRY's net debt is about 5.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.0 years a year ago.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

SGRY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI79.5Overbought
Stochastic97.4Overbought

SGRY's weekly RSI is 79 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 97 (overbought).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

SGRY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricSGRYSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

SGRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

SGRY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.147% above
20 week MA$16.363% above
50 week MA$15.275% above
100 week MA$18.643% above
200 week MA$25.06.5% above

SGRY has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

SGRY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.5$27.8+79%
2021$27.8$53.5+92%
2022$53.5$26.7-50%
2023$26.7$32.0+20%
2024$32.0$20.9-35%
2025$20.9$15.9-24%
2026 YTD$15.9$26.6+67%

SGRY has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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