NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has the edge over RPRX overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

RPRX

Royalty Pharma plc

44
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation15/ 100
Upside potential13/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

RPRX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

RPRX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Weak

RPRX's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over RPRX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RPRX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE98x197x295x394x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE98x197x295x394x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$68.97—
Cheap15x$22.76-67%
Fair23x$34.85-49%
Expensive44x$66.74-3.2%
Current45x$68.97—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RPRX's PE is in its expensive range at 45x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RPRX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect RPRX's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RPRX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RPRX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$72.83
Downside-39%$42.16

Calculated from the latest close: $68.97 on Nov 12.

RPRX trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over RPRX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RPRX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $1.78Q2 2024: $1.51Q3 2024: $2.56Q4 2024: $1.91Q1 2025: $2.45Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $1.75Q4 2025: $1.78Q1 2026: $1.90Q2 2026: $1.87Q3 2026: $1.52Forward: $5.95
Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $1.78Q2 2024: $1.51Q3 2024: $2.56Q4 2024: $1.91Q1 2025: $2.45Q2 2025: $2.29Q3 2025: $1.75Q4 2025: $1.78Q1 2026: $1.90Q2 2026: $1.87Q3 2026: $1.52Forward: $5.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.95+292%
Q3 2026$1.52-13%
Q2 2026$1.87-18%
Q1 2026$1.90-22%
Q4 2025$1.78-6.8%
Q3 2025$1.75-32%
Q2 2025$2.29+52%
Q1 2025$2.45+38%
Q4 2024$1.91-25%

RPRX's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.52 over the past year, against $3.36 in late 2019.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over RPRX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RPRX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $596MQ1 2024: $568MQ2 2024: $537MQ3 2024: $565MQ4 2024: $594MQ1 2025: $568MQ2 2025: $579MQ3 2025: $609MQ4 2025: $622MQ1 2026: $631MQ2 2026: $674MQ3 2026: $690M
Q4 2023: $596MQ1 2024: $568MQ2 2024: $537MQ3 2024: $565MQ4 2024: $594MQ1 2025: $568MQ2 2025: $579MQ3 2025: $609MQ4 2025: $622MQ1 2026: $631MQ2 2026: $674MQ3 2026: $690M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$690.1M+13%
Q2 2026$674.1M+16%
Q1 2026$630.6M+11%
Q4 2025$622M+4.8%
Q3 2025$609.3M+7.9%
Q2 2025$578.7M+7.7%
Q1 2025$568.2M0%
Q4 2024$593.6M-0.4%

RPRX's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $690M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over RPRX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RPRX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $773MQ1 2024: $665MQ2 2024: $658MQ3 2024: $704MQ4 2024: $743MQ1 2025: $596MQ2 2025: $364MQ3 2025: $703MQ4 2025: $827MQ1 2026: $718MQ2 2026: $728MQ3 2026: $686M
Q4 2023: $773MQ1 2024: $665MQ2 2024: $658MQ3 2024: $704MQ4 2024: $743MQ1 2025: $596MQ2 2025: $364MQ3 2025: $703MQ4 2025: $827MQ1 2026: $718MQ2 2026: $728MQ3 2026: $686M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$686.1M-2.4%
Q2 2026$728.5M+100%
Q1 2026$718.2M+20%
Q4 2025$827.1M+11%
Q3 2025$702.6M-0.1%
Q2 2025$364M-45%
Q1 2025$596.1M-10%
Q4 2024$742.5M-3.9%

RPRX's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $3B over the past year, up 23% from the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

RPRX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 603MQ1 2024: 597MQ2 2024: 597MQ3 2024: 593MQ4 2024: 594MQ1 2025: 578MQ2 2025: 562MQ3 2025: 560MQ4 2025: 564MQ1 2026: 557MQ2 2026: 557MQ3 2026: 557M
Q4 2023: 603MQ1 2024: 597MQ2 2024: 597MQ3 2024: 593MQ4 2024: 594MQ1 2025: 578MQ2 2025: 562MQ3 2025: 560MQ4 2025: 564MQ1 2026: 557MQ2 2026: 557MQ3 2026: 557M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+105K shares
1 year-0.5%-2.6M shares
3 years-7.3%-44.1M shares
5 years-8.3%-50.1M shares
Available history+58%+205M shares

RPRX has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over RPRX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RPRX Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 5.4xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q2 2026: 5.4xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20265.4xHigh
Q1 20202.2xModerate
Q4 20192.2xModerate

RPRX's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

RPRX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.0Overbought
Stochastic89.9Overbought

RPRX's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over RPRX on valuation relative to its sector.

RPRX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricRPRXSector medianRelative
PE45x26x76% above
PE %843153 pts above

RPRX is trading at 45x earnings, a 76% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

RPRX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.610% above
20 week MA$60.414% above
50 week MA$52.232% above
100 week MA$43.160% above
200 week MA$36.589% above

RPRX has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

RPRX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$49.0$48.9-0.2%
2021$48.9$40.3-18%
2022$40.3$39.4-2%
2023$39.4$28.1-29%
2024$28.1$25.5-9.1%
2025$25.5$39.2+54%
2026 YTD$39.2$69.0+76%

RPRX has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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