NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has the edge over RGNX overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RGNX

REGENXBIO Inc.

35
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential50/ 100

RGNX offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

RGNX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

RGNX's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RGNX PE Valuation

RGNX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RGNX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RGNX's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails RGNX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RGNX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+99%$15.96
Downside-50%$4.02

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RGNX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over RGNX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RGNX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.02Q1 2024: $-5.87Q2 2024: $-5.26Q3 2024: $-5.02Q4 2024: $-4.59Q1 2025: $-3.09Q2 2025: $-3.42Q3 2025: $-3.45Q4 2025: $-3.76Q1 2026: $-5.60Q2 2026: $-3.79Q3 2026: $-3.21
Q4 2023: $-6.02Q1 2024: $-5.87Q2 2024: $-5.26Q3 2024: $-5.02Q4 2024: $-4.59Q1 2025: $-3.09Q2 2025: $-3.42Q3 2025: $-3.45Q4 2025: $-3.76Q1 2026: $-5.60Q2 2026: $-3.79Q3 2026: $-3.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.21+$0.24
Q2 2026-$3.79-$0.37
Q1 2026-$5.60-$2.51
Q4 2025-$3.76+$0.83
Q3 2025-$3.45+$1.57
Q2 2025-$3.42+$1.84
Q1 2025-$3.09+$2.78
Q4 2024-$4.59+$1.43

RGNX is still losing money, but far less than before: $3.21 per share over the past year, against $6.50 at its worst in late 2022.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over RGNX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RGNX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $108MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.2M-69%
Q2 2026$108M+406%
Q1 2026$6.4M-93%
Q4 2025$30.3M+43%
Q3 2025$29.7M+23%
Q2 2025$21.4M-4.2%
Q1 2025$89M+470%
Q4 2024$21.2M-4.5%

RGNX's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $9M last quarter, down 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over RGNX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RGNX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$42MQ1 2024: −$56MQ2 2024: −$46MQ3 2024: −$41MQ4 2024: −$33MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: −$50MQ3 2025: −$56MQ4 2025: −$53MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$63MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$42MQ1 2024: −$56MQ2 2024: −$46MQ3 2024: −$41MQ4 2024: −$33MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: −$50MQ3 2025: −$56MQ4 2025: −$53MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$63MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$38.4M+$94.9M
Q2 2026-$63M-$13.3M
Q1 2026-$77.4M-337%
Q4 2025-$52.8M-$20.1M
Q3 2025-$56.5M-$15.6M
Q2 2025-$49.7M-$3.8M
Q1 2025$32.6M+$88.6M
Q4 2024-$32.7M+$9.2M

RGNX has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$155M over the past year, against −$106M the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over RGNX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RGNX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+23%+12.2M shares
1 year+26%+13.6M shares
3 years+51%+22.1M shares
5 years+76%+28.2M shares

RGNX has 65M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RGNX Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2022-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2022-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2022-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2021-2.0xNet Cash

RGNX has more cash than debt.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

RGNX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.0Neutral
Stochastic20.6Neutral

RGNX's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

RGNX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricRGNXSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

RGNX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

RGNX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.428.2% above
20 week MA$9.1612% below
50 week MA$9.5916% below
100 week MA$9.2213% below
200 week MA$12.938% below

RGNX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 38% below its 200-week average.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over RGNX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RGNX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.5$48.7+20%
2021$48.7$34.8-29%
2022$34.8$22.3-36%
2023$22.3$18.0-19%
2024$18.0$7.41-59%
2025$7.41$14.2+91%
2026 YTD$14.2$8.03-43%

RGNX has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 43% so far in 2026.

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