NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

PTGX

Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc.

62
Fundamentals92/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

PTGX has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

PTGX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Healthy

PTGX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over PTGX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PTGX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x117x157x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x117x157x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$62.70-53%
Current28x$134—
Fair42x$197+47%
Expensive131x$618+360%
Forward1,897x$134—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PTGX's PE is in its fair range at 28x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 1897x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

NVO has the edge over PTGX on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PTGX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PTGX's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails PTGX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PTGX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$195.99
Downside-20%$106.90

Calculated from the latest close: $134.38 on Nov 12.

PTGX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over PTGX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PTGX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $2.54Q2 2024: $2.72Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $4.23Q1 2025: $0.78Q2 2025: $0.73Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $-2.05Q1 2026: $-1.81Q2 2026: $1.03Q3 2026: $4.72Forward: $0.07
Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $2.54Q2 2024: $2.72Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $4.23Q1 2025: $0.78Q2 2025: $0.73Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $-2.05Q1 2026: $-1.81Q2 2026: $1.03Q3 2026: $4.72Forward: $0.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.07-98%
Q3 2026$4.72+626%
Q2 2026$1.03+41%
Q1 2026-$1.81-332%
Q4 2025-$2.05-148%
Q3 2025$0.65-76%
Q2 2025$0.73-73%
Q1 2025$0.78-69%
Q4 2024$4.23+$5.62

PTGX's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.72 over the past year, up from $0.65 the year before.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

PTGX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $255MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $213MQ3 2026: $274M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $255MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $213MQ3 2026: $274M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$274.4M+5724%
Q2 2026$213.5M+3749%
Q1 2026$56.4M+99%
Q4 2025$7.4M-96%
Q3 2025$4.7M+0.8%
Q2 2025$5.5M+33%
Q1 2025$28.3M-89%
Q4 2024$170.6M+184%

PTGX's revenue is growing: $274M last quarter, up 5724% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over PTGX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PTGX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$28MQ2 2024: $269MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: −$30MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: $219MQ3 2026: −$23M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$28MQ2 2024: $269MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: −$30MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: $219MQ3 2026: −$23M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.5M-$21.4M
Q2 2026$218.9M+$248.5M
Q1 2026-$49.2M-139%
Q4 2025-$37.1M-$7.6M
Q3 2025-$2M+$26.6M
Q2 2025-$29.6M-111%
Q1 2025$124.8M+$152.5M
Q4 2024-$29.5M-274%

PTGX has burned cash in almost every quarter: $109M over the past year, up 71% from the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over PTGX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PTGX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 72M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+725K shares
1 year+12%+8M shares
3 years+21%+12.5M shares
5 years+49%+23.7M shares
Available history+177%+45.8M shares

PTGX has 72M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PTGX Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -5.0xQ2 2025: -6.8xQ3 2025: -5.7xQ2 2026: -7.0xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -5.0xQ2 2025: -6.8xQ3 2025: -5.7xQ2 2026: -7.0xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-7.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-6.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2024-2.3xNet Cash

PTGX has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

PTGX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic31.1Neutral

PTGX's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over PTGX on valuation relative to its sector.

PTGX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPTGXSector medianRelative
PE28x26x10% above
PE %492920 pts above

PTGX is trading at 28x earnings, a 10% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

PTGX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$138.02.6% below
20 week MA$140.94.6% below
50 week MA$113.319% above
100 week MA$83.761% above
200 week MA$55.7141% above

PTGX has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

PTGX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.00$23.8+239%
2021$23.8$34.3+44%
2022$34.3$10.1-71%
2023$10.1$22.9+127%
2024$22.9$39.0+70%
2025$39.0$88.8+128%
2026 YTD$88.8$134.4+51%

PTGX has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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