NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PSNL

Personalis, Inc.

48
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

PSNL has a slight edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

PSNL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

PSNL's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

PSNL PE Valuation

PSNL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PSNL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PSNL's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails PSNL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PSNL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$28.35
Downside-44%$8.95

Calculated from the latest close: $15.86 on Nov 12.

PSNL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over PSNL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PSNL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.25Q1 2024: $-1.90Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.68Q4 2024: $-1.37Q1 2025: $-1.29Q2 2025: $-1.28Q3 2025: $-0.88Q4 2025: $-0.91Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $-1.09Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-2.25Q1 2024: $-1.90Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.68Q4 2024: $-1.37Q1 2025: $-1.29Q2 2025: $-1.28Q3 2025: $-0.88Q4 2025: $-0.91Q1 2026: $-1.02Q2 2026: $-1.09Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17-$0.29
Q2 2026-$1.09+$0.19
Q1 2026-$1.02+$0.27
Q4 2025-$0.91+$0.46
Q3 2025-$0.88+$0.80
Q2 2025-$1.28+$0.36
Q1 2025-$1.29+$0.61
Q4 2024-$1.37+$0.88

PSNL is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $2.48 at its worst in late 2022.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over PSNL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PSNL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $21MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$25.6M+77%
Q2 2026$22.4M+30%
Q1 2026$15.5M-25%
Q4 2025$17.3M+3.2%
Q3 2025$14.5M-44%
Q2 2025$17.2M-24%
Q1 2025$20.6M+5.5%
Q4 2024$16.8M-15%

PSNL's revenue is growing: $26M last quarter, up 77% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over PSNL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PSNL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$23MQ4 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: −$30MQ3 2026: −$30M
Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$23MQ4 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: −$30MQ3 2026: −$30M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$30.1M-$6.7M
Q2 2026-$29.6M-$16.3M
Q1 2026-$25.7M-$5.2M
Q4 2025-$22.3M-$13.3M
Q3 2025-$23.4M-$17M
Q2 2025-$13.2M-$2.5M
Q1 2025-$20.5M+$45K
Q4 2024-$9M+$7.9M

PSNL has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$108M over the past year, against −$66M the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over PSNL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PSNL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 89MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 105MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 89MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 105MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.7%+1.8M shares
1 year+21%+18.5M shares
3 years+125%+59.5M shares
5 years+144%+63.2M shares
Available history+242%+75.9M shares

PSNL has 107M diluted shares, up 21% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PSNL Net Leverage

PSNL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

PSNL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic50.9Neutral

PSNL's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 51 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

PSNL PE vs Healthcare Sector

PSNL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

PSNL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.00.6% below
20 week MA$15.42.8% above
50 week MA$11.242% above
100 week MA$8.4687% above
200 week MA$5.45191% above

PSNL has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

PSNL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.68$41.5+329%
2021$41.5$14.4-65%
2022$14.4$1.95-86%
2023$1.95$2.10+7.7%
2024$2.10$5.87+180%
2025$5.87$8.14+39%
2026 YTD$8.14$15.9+95%

PSNL has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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