NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

PRVA

Privia Health Group, Inc.

77
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

PRVA has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

PRVA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

PRVA's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over PRVA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PRVA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x131x197x262x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x131x197x262x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward54x$23.67—
Current88x$23.67—
Cheap90x$24.32+2.7%
Fair150x$40.60+72%
Expensive207x$55.80+136%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PRVA's PE is in its cheap range at 88x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 54x next year's earnings.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PRVA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

PRVA has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails PRVA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PRVA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$36.82
Downside-11%$21.10

Calculated from the latest close: $23.67 on Nov 12.

PRVA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

PRVA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $0.15Q2 2024: $0.12Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.12Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $0.18Q1 2026: $0.17Q2 2026: $0.22Q3 2026: $0.27Forward: $0.44
Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $0.15Q2 2024: $0.12Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.12Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $0.18Q1 2026: $0.17Q2 2026: $0.22Q3 2026: $0.27Forward: $0.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.44+61%
Q3 2026$0.27+108%
Q2 2026$0.22+100%
Q1 2026$0.17+42%
Q4 2025$0.18+64%
Q3 2025$0.13+30%
Q2 2025$0.11-8.3%
Q1 2025$0.12-20%
Q4 2024$0.11-42%

PRVA earned $0.27 per share over the past year, up 108% from the year before.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

PRVA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $441MQ1 2024: $415MQ2 2024: $422MQ3 2024: $438MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $480MQ2 2025: $521MQ3 2025: $580MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $604MQ2 2026: $633MQ3 2026: $657M
Q4 2023: $441MQ1 2024: $415MQ2 2024: $422MQ3 2024: $438MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $480MQ2 2025: $521MQ3 2025: $580MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $604MQ2 2026: $633MQ3 2026: $657M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$657M+13%
Q2 2026$632.6M+21%
Q1 2026$603.8M+26%
Q4 2025$541.2M+17%
Q3 2025$580.4M+33%
Q2 2025$521.2M+23%
Q1 2025$480.1M+16%
Q4 2024$460.9M+4.6%

PRVA has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over PRVA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRVA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: −$24MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $128MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: −$24MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $128MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.9M-44%
Q2 2026$1.1M-86%
Q1 2026-$49.5M-$25.4M
Q4 2025$127.5M+70%
Q3 2025$52M+57%
Q2 2025$8M-77%
Q1 2025-$24.1M+$9.1M
Q4 2024$74.8M+17%

PRVA generated $108M in free cash flow over the past year, down 2.4% from the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over PRVA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PRVA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 125MQ2 2024: 125MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 132MQ3 2026: 133M
Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 125MQ2 2024: 125MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 132MQ3 2026: 133M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+883K shares
1 year+3.1%+3.9M shares
3 years+6.2%+7.8M shares
5 years+25%+26.8M shares
Available history+29%+29.9M shares

PRVA has 133M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PRVA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -14.3xQ1 2024: -16.1xQ2 2024: -19.4xQ3 2024: -20.7xQ4 2024: -20.3xQ1 2025: -16.3xQ2 2025: -14.1xQ3 2025: -11.8xQ4 2025: -10.9xQ1 2026: -8.8xQ2 2026: -7.2xQ3 2026: -7.0x
Q4 2023: -14.3xQ1 2024: -16.1xQ2 2024: -19.4xQ3 2024: -20.7xQ4 2024: -20.3xQ1 2025: -16.3xQ2 2025: -14.1xQ3 2025: -11.8xQ4 2025: -10.9xQ1 2026: -8.8xQ2 2026: -7.2xQ3 2026: -7.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-7.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-7.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-8.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-10.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-11.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-14.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-16.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-20.3xNet Cash

PRVA has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

PRVA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.1Neutral
Stochastic71.7Neutral

PRVA's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over PRVA on valuation relative to its sector.

PRVA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPRVASector medianRelative
PE88x26x239% above
PE %153621 pts below

PRVA is trading at 88x earnings, a 239% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

PRVA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.98% above
20 week MA$22.74.4% above
50 week MA$22.93.4% above
100 week MA$22.93.6% above
200 week MA$22.64.9% above

PRVA has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

PRVA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$36.3$26.2-28%
2022$26.2$23.4-11%
2023$23.4$23.0-1.6%
2024$23.0$19.9-14%
2025$19.9$24.1+22%
2026 YTD$24.1$23.7-1.9%

PRVA has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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