NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

PODD

Insulet Corporation

71
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

PODD has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

PODD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

PODD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

PODD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1186x2372x3558x4744x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1186x2372x3558x4744x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$149—
Current24x$149—
Cheap45x$277+86%
Fair136x$835+459%
Expensive1,179x$7,213+4732%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PODD has the edge over NVO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PODD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

PODD has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails PODD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PODD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$223.68
Downside-11%$132.92

Calculated from the latest close: $149.29 on Nov 12.

PODD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

PODD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.94Q1 2024: $3.33Q2 2024: $5.53Q3 2024: $5.87Q4 2024: $5.78Q1 2025: $5.55Q2 2025: $3.28Q3 2025: $3.44Q4 2025: $3.48Q1 2026: $4.28Q2 2026: $5.33Q3 2026: $6.12Forward: $7.52
Q4 2023: $2.94Q1 2024: $3.33Q2 2024: $5.53Q3 2024: $5.87Q4 2024: $5.78Q1 2025: $5.55Q2 2025: $3.28Q3 2025: $3.44Q4 2025: $3.48Q1 2026: $4.28Q2 2026: $5.33Q3 2026: $6.12Forward: $7.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.52+23%
Q3 2026$6.12+78%
Q2 2026$5.33+63%
Q1 2026$4.28-23%
Q4 2025$3.48-40%
Q3 2025$3.44-41%
Q2 2025$3.28-41%
Q1 2025$5.55+67%
Q4 2024$5.78+97%

PODD earned $6.12 per share over the past year, up 78% from the year before.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

PODD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $510MQ1 2024: $442MQ2 2024: $489MQ3 2024: $544MQ4 2024: $598MQ1 2025: $569MQ2 2025: $649MQ3 2025: $706MQ4 2025: $784MQ1 2026: $762MQ2 2026: $802MQ3 2026: $842M
Q4 2023: $510MQ1 2024: $442MQ2 2024: $489MQ3 2024: $544MQ4 2024: $598MQ1 2025: $569MQ2 2025: $649MQ3 2025: $706MQ4 2025: $784MQ1 2026: $762MQ2 2026: $802MQ3 2026: $842M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$842M+19%
Q2 2026$801.7M+24%
Q1 2026$761.7M+34%
Q4 2025$783.8M+31%
Q3 2025$706.3M+30%
Q2 2025$649.1M+33%
Q1 2025$569M+29%
Q4 2024$597.5M+17%

PODD has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over PODD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PODD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $94MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $100MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $90MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $66M
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $94MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $178MQ3 2025: $100MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $90MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $66M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$66.4M-34%
Q2 2026$55.9M-69%
Q1 2026$89.5M+74%
Q4 2025$48.2M-49%
Q3 2025$100.1M+39%
Q2 2025$177.9M+140%
Q1 2025$51.5M-21%
Q4 2024$94.1M+492%

PODD still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $260M over the past year.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PODD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 74MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 74MQ4 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 74MQ2 2025: 71MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 72MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 69MQ3 2026: 69M
Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 74MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 74MQ4 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 74MQ2 2025: 71MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 72MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 69MQ3 2026: 69M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+89K shares
1 year-1.7%-1.2M shares
3 years-5.6%-4.1M shares
5 years-0.2%-127K shares
Available history+12%+7.2M shares

PODD has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PODD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

PODD's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

PODD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.0Neutral
Stochastic48.9Neutral

PODD's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over PODD on valuation relative to its sector.

PODD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPODDSector medianRelative
PE24x26x5.6% below
PE %02929 pts below

PODD is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

PODD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$142.34.9% above
20 week MA$147.81% above
50 week MA$191.322% below
100 week MA$243.739% below
200 week MA$234.436% below

PODD has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over PODD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PODD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$172.5$257.3+49%
2021$257.3$273.3+6.2%
2022$273.3$292.1+6.9%
2023$292.1$217.0-26%
2024$217.0$265.1+22%
2025$265.1$288.6+8.9%
2026 YTD$288.6$149.3-48%

PODD is down 48% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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