NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

PIII

P3 Health Partners Inc.

56
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

PIII has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

PIII Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

PIII's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65โ€”
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

PIII PE Valuation

PIII has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PIII Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
--
Limited
--

Analysts expect PIII's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NVO and PIII's risk to reward.

PIII Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $2.75 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NVO and PIII's risk to reward.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over PIII on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PIII Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-31.50Q1 2024: $-28.50Q2 2024: $-31.50Q3 2024: $-41.00Q4 2024: $-54.00Q1 2025: $-52.28Q2 2025: $-51.01Q3 2025: $-45.18Q4 2025: $-45.26Q1 2026: $-38.66Q2 2026: $-33.06
Q4 2023: $-31.50Q1 2024: $-28.50Q2 2024: $-31.50Q3 2024: $-41.00Q4 2024: $-54.00Q1 2025: $-52.28Q2 2025: $-51.01Q3 2025: $-45.18Q4 2025: $-45.26Q1 2026: $-38.66Q2 2026: $-33.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$33.06+$17.95
Q1 2026-$38.66+$13.62
Q4 2025-$45.26+$8.74
Q3 2025-$45.18-$4.18
Q2 2025-$51.01-$19.51
Q1 2025-$52.28-$23.78
Q4 2024-$54.00-$22.50
Q3 2024-$41.00+$93.00

PIII is still losing money, but far less than before: $33.06 per share over the past year, against $134.00 at its worst in late 2023.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over PIII on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PIII Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $388MQ2 2024: $379MQ3 2024: $362MQ4 2024: $371MQ1 2025: $373MQ2 2025: $356MQ3 2025: $345MQ4 2025: $385MQ1 2026: $386MQ2 2026: $386MQ3 2026: $396M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $388MQ2 2024: $379MQ3 2024: $362MQ4 2024: $371MQ1 2025: $373MQ2 2025: $356MQ3 2025: $345MQ4 2025: $385MQ1 2026: $386MQ2 2026: $386MQ3 2026: $396M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$396.3M+15%
Q2 2026$386.4M+8.6%
Q1 2026$386.4M+3.5%
Q4 2025$384.8M+3.8%
Q3 2025$345.3M-4.7%
Q2 2025$355.8M-6.2%
Q1 2025$373.2M-3.9%
Q4 2024$370.7M+6.9%

PIII's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $396M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: โˆ’$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: โˆ’$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: โˆ’$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: โˆ’$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: โˆ’$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: โˆ’$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

PIII has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 6.5% versus its history, compared with NVO at down 14%.

PIII Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$16MQ1 2024: โˆ’$20MQ2 2024: โˆ’$10MQ3 2024: โˆ’$23MQ4 2024: โˆ’$57MQ1 2025: โˆ’$33MQ2 2025: โˆ’$17MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$26MQ1 2026: โˆ’$27MQ2 2026: โˆ’$62MQ3 2026: โˆ’$685,000
Q4 2023: โˆ’$16MQ1 2024: โˆ’$20MQ2 2024: โˆ’$10MQ3 2024: โˆ’$23MQ4 2024: โˆ’$57MQ1 2025: โˆ’$33MQ2 2025: โˆ’$17MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$26MQ1 2026: โˆ’$27MQ2 2026: โˆ’$62MQ3 2026: โˆ’$685,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$61.9M-$45.3M
Q1 2026-$27.5M+$6M
Q4 2025-$25.7M+$31.5M
Q2 2025-$16.6M-$6.4M
Q1 2025-$33.5M-$13.4M
Q4 2024-$57.2M-$41.6M
Q3 2024-$22.6M-$14.6M
Q2 2024-$10.2M+$19.8M

PIII has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$116M over the past year, against โˆ’$130M the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over PIII on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PIII Total Shares

Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 7M
Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 7M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+97%+3.3M shares
1 year+103%+3.4M shares
3 years+6%+373K shares

PIII has 7M diluted shares, up 103% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over PIII on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PIII Net Leverage

Q3 2026: 28.6x
Q3 2026: 28.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202628.6xHigh

PIII's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

PIII Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.3Oversold
Stochastic2.8Oversold

PIII's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

PIII PE vs Healthcare Sector

PIII has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has the edge over PIII on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PIII Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.6841% below
20 week MA$7.8165% below
50 week MA$6.1655% below
100 week MA$7.2562% below
200 week MA$34.792% below

PIII is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 92% below its 200-week average.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over PIII on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PIII Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$488.5$363.0-26%
2022$363.0$101.5-72%
2023$101.5$70.5-31%
2024$70.5$10.0-86%
2025$10.0$3.57-64%
2026 YTD$3.57$2.75-23%

PIII has finished every year since 2021 lower, and it's down 23% so far in 2026.

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