NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

PGNY

Progyny, Inc.

75
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

PGNY has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

PGNY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

PGNY's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over PGNY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PGNY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x97x129x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x97x129x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward24x$36.58—
Cheap32x$34.56-5.5%
Current34x$36.58—
Fair43x$46.46+27%
Expensive91x$98.79+170%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PGNY's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PGNY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

PGNY has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails PGNY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PGNY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$53.86
Downside-19%$29.56

Calculated from the latest close: $36.58 on Nov 12.

PGNY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over PGNY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PGNY Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $0.57Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.59Q3 2025: $0.63Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.92Q3 2026: $1.09Forward: $1.54
Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $0.57Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.59Q3 2025: $0.63Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.92Q3 2026: $1.09Forward: $1.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.54+41%
Q3 2026$1.09+73%
Q2 2026$0.92+56%
Q1 2026$0.77+35%
Q4 2025$0.65+14%
Q3 2025$0.63+8.6%
Q2 2025$0.59-6.3%
Q1 2023$0.43-23%
Q4 2022$0.30-55%

PGNY earned $1.09 per share over the past year, up 73% from the year before.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

PGNY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $270MQ1 2024: $278MQ2 2024: $304MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $298MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $333MQ3 2025: $313MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $329MQ2 2026: $351MQ3 2026: $341M
Q4 2023: $270MQ1 2024: $278MQ2 2024: $304MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $298MQ1 2025: $324MQ2 2025: $333MQ3 2025: $313MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $329MQ2 2026: $351MQ3 2026: $341M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$341.3M+8.9%
Q2 2026$350.5M+5.3%
Q1 2026$328.5M+1.4%
Q4 2025$318.4M+6.7%
Q3 2025$313.3M+9.3%
Q2 2025$332.9M+9.5%
Q1 2025$324M+17%
Q4 2024$298.4M+11%

PGNY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $341M last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over PGNY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PGNY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $40MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $40MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $47M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$47.2M+2.7%
Q2 2026$44.2M-12%
Q1 2026$39.6M-16%
Q4 2025$48.6M-3.3%
Q3 2025$46M+7.6%
Q2 2025$50.2M-10%
Q1 2025$47M+89%
Q4 2024$50.3M+36%

PGNY generated $180M in free cash flow over the past year, down 7.1% from the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PGNY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 94MQ4 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 81M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 98MQ3 2024: 94MQ4 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 81M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-969K shares
1 year-10%-9.1M shares
3 years-20%-19.7M shares
5 years-19%-19.2M shares
Available history+26%+17M shares

PGNY has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PGNY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.3xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.3xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash

PGNY has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

PGNY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.2Overbought
Stochastic84.8Overbought

PGNY's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over PGNY on valuation relative to its sector.

PGNY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPGNYSector medianRelative
PE34x26x30% above
PE %21298 pts below

PGNY is trading at 34x earnings, a 30% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

PGNY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.425% above
20 week MA$28.827% above
50 week MA$25.046% above
100 week MA$23.357% above
200 week MA$27.334% above

PGNY has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

PGNY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.0$42.2+51%
2021$42.2$51.5+22%
2022$51.5$30.8-40%
2023$30.8$37.2+21%
2024$37.2$16.9-55%
2025$16.9$25.8+53%
2026 YTD$25.8$36.6+42%

PGNY has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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