NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has the edge over PFE overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

PFE

Pfizer Inc.

38
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential21/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

PFE trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

PFE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Weak

PFE's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over PFE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PFE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$6.78-76%
Forward10x$28.83—
Fair15x$10.59-63%
Expensive24x$16.53-43%
Current41x$28.83—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PFE's PE is in its expensive range at 41x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x, in its cheap range.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PFE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PFE's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PFE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PFE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$31.40
Downside-33%$19.21

Calculated from the latest close: $28.83 on Nov 12.

PFE trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over PFE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PFE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.45Q3 2024: $0.75Q4 2024: $1.41Q1 2025: $1.38Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $0.76Q3 2026: $0.70Forward: $2.83
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $-0.05Q2 2024: $-0.45Q3 2024: $0.75Q4 2024: $1.41Q1 2025: $1.38Q2 2025: $1.88Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $0.76Q3 2026: $0.70Forward: $2.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.83+304%
Q3 2026$0.70-59%
Q2 2026$0.76-60%
Q1 2026$1.31-5.1%
Q4 2025$1.36-3.5%
Q3 2025$1.72+129%
Q2 2025$1.88+$2.33
Q1 2025$1.38+$1.43
Q4 2024$1.41+281%

PFE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.70 over the past year, against $5.47 in late 2022.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over PFE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PFE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $14.2BQ1 2024: $14.9BQ2 2024: $13.3BQ3 2024: $17.7BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: $13.7BQ2 2025: $14.7BQ3 2025: $16.7BQ4 2025: $17.6BQ1 2026: $14.5BQ2 2026: $15BQ3 2026: $16.6B
Q4 2023: $14.2BQ1 2024: $14.9BQ2 2024: $13.3BQ3 2024: $17.7BQ4 2024: $17.8BQ1 2025: $13.7BQ2 2025: $14.7BQ3 2025: $16.7BQ4 2025: $17.6BQ1 2026: $14.5BQ2 2026: $15BQ3 2026: $16.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.6B-0.4%
Q2 2026$15B+2.6%
Q1 2026$14.5B+5.4%
Q4 2025$17.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$16.7B-5.9%
Q2 2025$14.7B+10%
Q1 2025$13.7B-7.8%
Q4 2024$17.8B+25%

PFE's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $16.6B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

PFE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $386MQ2 2024: −$2.4BQ3 2024: $6.1BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: −$1.2BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $302MQ3 2026: $4.8B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $386MQ2 2024: −$2.4BQ3 2024: $6.1BQ4 2024: $5.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: −$1.2BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $302MQ3 2026: $4.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.8B+20%
Q2 2026$302M+$1.5B
Q1 2026$2.2B+23%
Q4 2025$4.5B-22%
Q3 2025$4B-34%
Q2 2025-$1.2B+$1.2B
Q1 2025$1.8B+359%
Q4 2024$5.8B+38%

PFE has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over PFE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PFE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5.7BQ1 2024: 5.7BQ2 2024: 5.7BQ3 2024: 5.7BQ4 2024: 5.7BQ1 2025: 5.7BQ2 2025: 5.7BQ3 2025: 5.7BQ4 2025: 5.7BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.7BQ3 2026: 5.8B
Q4 2023: 5.7BQ1 2024: 5.7BQ2 2024: 5.7BQ3 2024: 5.7BQ4 2024: 5.7BQ1 2025: 5.7BQ2 2025: 5.7BQ3 2025: 5.7BQ4 2025: 5.7BQ1 2026: 5.7BQ2 2026: 5.7BQ3 2026: 5.8B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+52M shares
1 year+0.6%+37M shares
3 years+1.9%+105M shares
5 years+0.5%+26M shares
Available history-3.9%-230M shares

PFE has 5.8B diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over PFE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PFE Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 27.0xQ3 2024: 6.2xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 5.8xQ3 2026: 5.7x
Q2 2024: 27.0xQ3 2024: 6.2xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 5.8xQ3 2026: 5.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.7xHigh
Q2 20265.8xHigh
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20254.3xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

PFE's net debt is about 5.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.8 years a year ago.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

PFE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.8Neutral
Stochastic72.5Neutral

PFE's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over PFE on valuation relative to its sector.

PFE PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPFESector medianRelative
PE41x26x59% above
PE %972968 pts above

PFE is trading at 41x earnings, a 59% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

PFE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.11.1% below
20 week MA$27.54.9% above
50 week MA$26.87.7% above
100 week MA$25.812% above
200 week MA$29.00.4% below

PFE has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

PFE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.3$37.30%
2021$37.3$58.7+58%
2022$58.7$51.8-12%
2023$51.8$28.8-44%
2024$28.8$26.6-7.5%
2025$26.6$25.1-5.7%
2026 YTD$25.1$28.8+15%

PFE has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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