NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

ORCL

Oracle Corporation

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ORCL has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ORCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Weak
Strong

ORCL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over ORCL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ORCL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$127—
Cheap19x$119-6.8%
Current20x$127—
Fair30x$189+49%
Expensive39x$247+94%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORCL's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ORCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
High

ORCL has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails ORCL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ORCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$192.98
Downside-19%$102.46

Calculated from the latest close: $127.11 on Nov 12.

ORCL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

ORCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.80Q2 2024: $3.71Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.34Q3 2025: $4.32Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.83Q3 2026: $6.38Forward: $8.53
Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.80Q2 2024: $3.71Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.34Q3 2025: $4.32Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.83Q3 2026: $6.38Forward: $8.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.53+34%
Q3 2026$6.38+48%
Q2 2026$5.83+34%
Q1 2026$5.57+31%
Q4 2025$5.32+30%
Q3 2025$4.32+11%
Q2 2025$4.34+17%
Q1 2025$4.26+12%
Q4 2024$4.09+13%

ORCL has the edge over NVO on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ORCL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $13.3BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $14.9BQ4 2025: $16.1BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $19.2BQ3 2026: $19.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $13.3BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $14.9BQ4 2025: $16.1BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $19.2BQ3 2026: $19.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.3B+30%
Q2 2026$19.2B+21%
Q1 2026$17.2B+22%
Q4 2025$16.1B+14%
Q3 2025$14.9B+12%
Q2 2025$15.9B+11%
Q1 2025$14.1B+6.4%
Q4 2024$14.1B+8.6%

ORCL's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $19.3B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over ORCL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ORCL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$937MQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: −$2.9BQ3 2025: −$362MQ4 2025: −$10BQ1 2026: −$11.5BQ2 2026: −$1.9BQ3 2026: −$5.4B
Q4 2023: −$937MQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: −$2.9BQ3 2025: −$362MQ4 2025: −$10BQ1 2026: −$11.5BQ2 2026: −$1.9BQ3 2026: −$5.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.4B-$5B
Q2 2026-$1.9B+$1.1B
Q1 2026-$11.5B-16275%
Q4 2025-$10B-$7.3B
Q3 2025-$362M-107%
Q2 2025-$2.9B-189%
Q1 2025$71M-98%
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$1.7B

ORCL has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$28.7B over the past year, against −$5.9B the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over ORCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ORCL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.8BQ1 2024: 2.8BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.9BQ2 2025: 2.9BQ3 2025: 2.9BQ4 2025: 2.9BQ1 2026: 2.9BQ2 2026: 2.9BQ3 2026: 3B
Q4 2023: 2.8BQ1 2024: 2.8BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.9BQ2 2025: 2.9BQ3 2025: 2.9BQ4 2025: 2.9BQ1 2026: 2.9BQ2 2026: 2.9BQ3 2026: 3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3%+86M shares
1 year+3.1%+91M shares
3 years+6.3%+177M shares
5 years+4.9%+139M shares
Available history-9.9%-331M shares

ORCL has 3B diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ORCL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

ORCL has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

ORCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.9Neutral
Stochastic23.0Neutral

ORCL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over ORCL on valuation relative to its sector.

ORCL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricORCLSector medianRelative
PE20x28x28% below
PE %28357 pts below

ORCL is trading at 20x earnings, a 28% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has the edge over ORCL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ORCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.13.1% below
20 week MA$137.67.7% below
50 week MA$160.321% below
100 week MA$181.430% below
200 week MA$151.916% below

ORCL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over ORCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ORCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.5$65.0+22%
2021$65.0$89.7+38%
2022$89.7$80.9-9.9%
2023$80.9$105.4+30%
2024$105.4$169.0+60%
2025$169.0$198.0+17%
2026 YTD$198.0$127.1-36%

ORCL is down 36% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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