NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

ONC

BeOne Medicines Ltd.

76
Fundamentals92/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

ONC has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ONC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

ONC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over ONC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ONC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE183x366x549x732x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE183x366x549x732x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current52x$416—
Cheap62x$37.70-91%
Fair72x$43.95-89%
Expensive650x$396-4.8%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ONC's PE is 52x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ONC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

ONC has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ONC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ONC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$532.06
Downside-21%$330.24

Calculated from the latest close: $415.96 on Nov 12.

ONC trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

ONC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-0.58Q2 2024: $-0.39Q3 2024: $-0.63Q4 2024: $-0.47Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.13Q3 2025: $0.04Q4 2025: $0.19Q1 2026: $0.34Q2 2026: $0.44Q3 2026: $0.61
Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-0.58Q2 2024: $-0.39Q3 2024: $-0.63Q4 2024: $-0.47Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.13Q3 2025: $0.04Q4 2025: $0.19Q1 2026: $0.34Q2 2026: $0.44Q3 2026: $0.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.61+1425%
Q2 2026$0.44+$0.57
Q1 2026$0.34+$0.62
Q4 2025$0.19+$0.66
Q3 2025$0.04+$0.67
Q2 2025-$0.13+$0.26
Q1 2025-$0.28+$0.30
Q4 2024-$0.47+$0.18

ONC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.61 over the past year, more than ten times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ONC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $634MQ1 2024: $752MQ2 2024: $929MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $634MQ1 2024: $752MQ2 2024: $929MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B+34%
Q2 2026$1.7B+30%
Q1 2026$1.5B+35%
Q4 2025$1.5B+33%
Q3 2025$1.4B+41%
Q2 2025$1.3B+42%
Q1 2025$1.1B+49%
Q4 2024$1.1B+78%

ONC has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

ONC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$379MQ1 2024: −$465MQ2 2024: −$206MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $354MQ4 2025: $380MQ1 2026: $161MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $474M
Q4 2023: −$379MQ1 2024: −$465MQ2 2024: −$206MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $354MQ4 2025: $380MQ1 2026: $161MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $474M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$473.5M+34%
Q2 2026$435.3M+98%
Q1 2026$160.5M+$172.9M
Q4 2025$379.8M+$397.1M
Q3 2025$354.5M+548%
Q2 2025$219.8M+$425.3M
Q1 2025-$12.3M+$452.8M
Q4 2024-$17.3M+$361.3M

ONC has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over ONC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ONC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.4BQ1 2024: 1.4BQ2 2024: 1.4BQ3 2024: 1.4BQ4 2024: 1.4BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.4BQ1 2024: 1.4BQ2 2024: 1.4BQ3 2024: 1.4BQ4 2024: 1.4BQ1 2025: 1.4BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+19.6M shares
1 year+2.4%+36.2M shares
3 years+9.7%+135M shares
5 years+26%+319M shares
Available history+52%+520M shares

ONC has 1.5B diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ONC Net Leverage

Q2 2025: -20.2xQ3 2025: -9.5xQ4 2025: -6.0xQ1 2026: -4.4xQ2 2026: -3.7xQ3 2026: -3.4x
Q2 2025: -20.2xQ3 2025: -9.5xQ4 2025: -6.0xQ1 2026: -4.4xQ2 2026: -3.7xQ3 2026: -3.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-9.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-20.2xNet Cash

ONC has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

ONC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.6Overbought
Stochastic87.7Overbought

ONC's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over ONC on valuation relative to its sector.

ONC PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricONCSector medianRelative
PE52x26x103% above
PE %22927 pts below

ONC is trading at 52x earnings, a 103% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

ONC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.710% above
20 week MA$352.818% above
50 week MA$326.927% above
100 week MA$298.040% above
200 week MA$244.970% above

ONC has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

ONC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$167.2$263.7+58%
2021$263.7$268.6+1.9%
2022$268.6$226.1-16%
2023$226.1$180.4-20%
2024$180.4$181.9+0.8%
2025$181.9$312.4+72%
2026 YTD$312.4$416.0+33%

ONC has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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