NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over XYZ overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

XYZ

Block, Inc.

65
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

XYZ's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

XYZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

XYZ's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over XYZ in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

XYZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1100x2199x3299x4398x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1100x2199x3299x4398x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$12.08-85%
Forward16x$82.26—
Fair93x$69.03-16%
Current111x$82.26—
Expensive316x$233+184%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

XYZ's PE is in its fair range at 111x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

XYZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

XYZ has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than XYZ, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

XYZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$126.97
Downside-19%$66.99

Calculated from the latest close: $82.26 on Nov 12.

XYZ trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over XYZ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XYZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.02Q1 2024: $0.79Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.80Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $4.12Q2 2025: $4.68Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $2.10Q1 2026: $1.28Q2 2026: $0.56Q3 2026: $0.74Forward: $5.04
Q4 2023: $0.02Q1 2024: $0.79Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.80Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $4.12Q2 2025: $4.68Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $2.10Q1 2026: $1.28Q2 2026: $0.56Q3 2026: $0.74Forward: $5.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.04+581%
Q3 2026$0.74-85%
Q2 2026$0.56-88%
Q1 2026$1.28-69%
Q4 2025$2.10-54%
Q3 2025$4.97+176%
Q2 2025$4.68+260%
Q1 2025$4.12+422%
Q4 2024$4.56+22700%

XYZ's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.74 over the past year, against $4.97 in late 2025.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over XYZ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XYZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.8BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $6.2BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $6BQ1 2025: $5.8BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $6.1BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $6.1BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.7B
Q4 2023: $5.8BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $6.2BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $6BQ1 2025: $5.8BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $6.1BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $6.1BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.7B+9.9%
Q2 2026$6.6B+9.3%
Q1 2026$6.1B+4.9%
Q4 2025$6.3B+3.6%
Q3 2025$6.1B+2.3%
Q2 2025$6.1B-1.6%
Q1 2025$5.8B-3.1%
Q4 2024$6B+4.5%

XYZ's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $6.7B last quarter, up 9.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over XYZ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XYZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$850MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $481MQ3 2024: $628MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $101MQ2 2025: $343MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $580MQ1 2026: $935MQ2 2026: $967MQ3 2026: $972M
Q4 2023: −$850MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $481MQ3 2024: $628MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $101MQ2 2025: $343MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $580MQ1 2026: $935MQ2 2026: $967MQ3 2026: $972M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$972M-31%
Q2 2026$966.6M+182%
Q1 2026$935M+822%
Q4 2025$579.8M+$593M
Q3 2025$1.4B+123%
Q2 2025$343M-29%
Q1 2025$101.5M-78%
Q4 2024-$13.2M+$836.4M

XYZ generated $3.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 89% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

XYZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 614MQ1 2024: 637MQ2 2024: 634MQ3 2024: 633MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 635MQ2 2025: 619MQ3 2025: 622MQ4 2025: 623MQ1 2026: 598MQ2 2026: 609MQ3 2026: 615M
Q4 2023: 614MQ1 2024: 637MQ2 2024: 634MQ3 2024: 633MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 635MQ2 2025: 619MQ3 2025: 622MQ4 2025: 623MQ1 2026: 598MQ2 2026: 609MQ3 2026: 615M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+5.9M shares
1 year-1.1%-6.9M shares
3 years+0.6%+3.5M shares
5 years+22%+111M shares
Available history+32%+149M shares

XYZ has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

XYZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -31.9xQ1 2024: -4.2xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -5.3xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q4 2023: -31.9xQ1 2024: -4.2xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -5.3xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.3xNet Cash

XYZ has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

XYZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.3Neutral
Stochastic55.5Neutral

XYZ's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over XYZ on valuation relative to its sector.

XYZ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricXYZSector medianRelative
PE111x28x299% above
PE %523517 pts above

XYZ is trading at 111x earnings, a 299% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

XYZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.35.1% above
20 week MA$79.33.7% above
50 week MA$71.016% above
100 week MA$70.616% above
200 week MA$69.119% above

XYZ has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

XYZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$63.8$228.3+258%
2021$228.3$167.7-27%
2022$167.7$60.9-64%
2023$60.9$77.4+27%
2024$77.4$89.0+15%
2025$89.0$66.3-26%
2026 YTD$66.3$82.3+24%

XYZ has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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