NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over XPER overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

XPER

Xperi Inc.

62
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

XPER's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

XPER Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Healthy

XPER's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

XPER PE Valuation

XPER has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

XPER Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

XPER has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than XPER, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

XPER Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$7.92
Downside-22%$4.81

Calculated from the latest close: $6.15 on Nov 12.

XPER trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over XPER on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

XPER Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.18Q1 2024: $-2.71Q2 2024: $-2.48Q3 2024: $-1.89Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.43Q2 2025: $-0.08Q3 2025: $0.16Q4 2025: $-1.23Q1 2026: $-0.99Q2 2026: $-0.70Q3 2026: $-0.68Forward: $1.07
Q4 2023: $-3.18Q1 2024: $-2.71Q2 2024: $-2.48Q3 2024: $-1.89Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.43Q2 2025: $-0.08Q3 2025: $0.16Q4 2025: $-1.23Q1 2026: $-0.99Q2 2026: $-0.70Q3 2026: $-0.68Forward: $1.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.07—
Q3 2026-$0.68-525%
Q2 2026-$0.70-$0.62
Q1 2026-$0.99-$0.56
Q4 2025-$1.23-$0.92
Q3 2025$0.16+$2.05
Q2 2025-$0.08+$2.40
Q1 2025-$0.43+$2.28
Q4 2024-$0.31+$2.87

XPER has swung to a loss: it lost $0.68 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over XPER on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XPER Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $120MQ3 2024: $133MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $112MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $114M
Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $120MQ3 2024: $133MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $112MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $114MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $114M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$114M+2.1%
Q2 2026$114.5M+8.1%
Q1 2026$114.2M+0.2%
Q4 2025$116.5M-4.8%
Q3 2025$111.6M-16%
Q2 2025$105.9M-11%
Q1 2025$114M-4%
Q4 2024$122.4M-11%

XPER's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $114M last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over XPER on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

XPER Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$52MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$510,000Q1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$52MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$510,000Q1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.3M-51%
Q2 2026$14.1M+47%
Q1 2026-$19.1M+$4.2M
Q4 2025$1.2M+$1.7M
Q3 2025$6.7M+$12.4M
Q2 2025$9.5M+$12.1M
Q1 2025-$23.3M+$28.3M
Q4 2024-$510K-103%

XPER's free cash flow was −$633,000 over the past year, against −$8M the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over XPER on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XPER Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 49M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+360K shares
1 year+5.4%+2.5M shares
3 years+13%+5.5M shares
5 years+17%+7.1M shares
Available history-2.8%-1.4M shares

XPER has 49M diluted shares, up 5.4% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

XPER Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -8.5xQ4 2025: -12.5xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.2x
Q3 2025: -8.5xQ4 2025: -12.5xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-12.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.5xNet Cash
Q3 20212.9xModerate
Q2 20212.5xModerate
Q1 20212.6xModerate

XPER has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

XPER Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.8Neutral
Stochastic30.8Neutral

XPER's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

XPER PE vs Technology Sector

MetricXPERSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

XPER has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

XPER Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.4413% above
20 week MA$6.271.9% below
50 week MA$6.373.5% below
100 week MA$6.9411% below
200 week MA$8.5128% below

XPER has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 28% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

XPER Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$14.8$8.35-44%
2023$8.35$11.0+32%
2024$11.0$10.1-8.1%
2025$10.1$5.93-41%
2026 YTD$5.93$6.15+3.7%

XPER has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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