NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over WAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

WAY

Waystar Holding Corp.

62
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

WAY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

WAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

WAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over WAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE121x242x364x485x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE121x242x364x485x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$28.14—
Cheap34x$23.39-17%
Current41x$28.14—
Fair42x$29.15+3.6%
Expensive81x$55.94+99%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WAY's PE is in its fair range at 41x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

WAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

WAY has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$36.02
Downside-24%$21.28

Calculated from the latest close: $28.14 on Nov 12.

WAY trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.91 over the past year, up 125% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

WAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.31Q1 2024: $-0.34Q2 2024: $-0.48Q3 2024: $-0.36Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $0.09Q2 2025: $0.48Q3 2025: $0.62Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.70Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $1.79
Q4 2023: $-0.31Q1 2024: $-0.34Q2 2024: $-0.48Q3 2024: $-0.36Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $0.09Q2 2025: $0.48Q3 2025: $0.62Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.70Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $1.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.79+160%
Q3 2026$0.69+11%
Q2 2026$0.70+46%
Q1 2026$0.67+644%
Q4 2025$0.61+$0.78
Q3 2025$0.62+$0.98
Q2 2025$0.48+$0.96
Q1 2025$0.09+$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.17+$0.14

WAY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.69 over the past year, up 11% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over WAY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

WAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $207MQ1 2024: $225MQ2 2024: $235MQ3 2024: $240MQ4 2024: $244MQ1 2025: $256MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $304MQ1 2026: $314MQ2 2026: $320MQ3 2026: $326M
Q4 2023: $207MQ1 2024: $225MQ2 2024: $235MQ3 2024: $240MQ4 2024: $244MQ1 2025: $256MQ2 2025: $271MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $304MQ1 2026: $314MQ2 2026: $320MQ3 2026: $326M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$325.6M+21%
Q2 2026$319.7M+18%
Q1 2026$313.9M+22%
Q4 2025$303.5M+24%
Q3 2025$268.7M+12%
Q2 2025$270.7M+15%
Q1 2025$256.4M+14%
Q4 2024$244.1M+18%

WAY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2022: $326M last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over WAY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: $76MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $70MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $94M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: $76MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $70MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $94M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$93.9M+23%
Q2 2026$43.3M-52%
Q1 2026$69.6M+18%
Q4 2025$57.2M-2.3%
Q3 2025$76.2M+8.5%
Q1 2025$58.8M+1038%
Q4 2024$58.5M+933%
Q3 2024$70.2M+$86.9M

WAY generated $264M in free cash flow over the past year, down 7.2% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over WAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 167MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 134MQ3 2024: 176MQ4 2024: 150MQ1 2025: 181MQ2 2025: 182MQ3 2025: 181MQ4 2025: 185MQ1 2026: 195MQ2 2026: 195MQ3 2026: 196M
Q4 2023: 167MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 134MQ3 2024: 176MQ4 2024: 150MQ1 2025: 181MQ2 2025: 182MQ3 2025: 181MQ4 2025: 185MQ1 2026: 195MQ2 2026: 195MQ3 2026: 196M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+1.4M shares
1 year+8.1%+14.7M shares
3 years+18%+29.3M shares
5 years+18%+29.3M shares

WAY has 196M diluted shares, up 8.1% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over WAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 7.0xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 7.0xQ1 2024: 7.0xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

WAY's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

WAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.0Neutral
Stochastic78.5Neutral

WAY's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over WAY on valuation relative to its sector.

WAY PE vs Technology Sector

MetricWAYSector medianRelative
PE41x28x46% above
PE %411922 pts above

WAY is trading at 41x earnings, a 46% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

WAY has stronger trend alignment. NVDA is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus WAY above 3 of 4.

WAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.13.8% above
20 week MA$25.212% above
50 week MA$25.112% above
100 week MA$31.611% below

WAY has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 11% below its 100-week average.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over WAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$20.7$37.9+83%
2025$37.9$33.0-13%
2026 YTD$33.0$28.1-15%

WAY has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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