NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over VTEX overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

VTEX

Vtex

75
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VTEX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

VTEX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

VTEX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over VTEX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VTEX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE115x230x344x459x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE115x230x344x459x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$3.94—
Current23x$3.94—
Cheap29x$4.99+27%
Fair72x$12.19+209%
Expensive137x$23.24+490%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VTEX's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

VTEX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

VTEX has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VTEX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VTEX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$5.56
Downside-17%$3.27

Calculated from the latest close: $3.94 on Nov 12.

VTEX trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.91 over the past year, up 125% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

VTEX Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.09Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.04Q2 2024: $0.02Q3 2024: $0.05Q4 2024: $0.06Q1 2025: $0.08Q2 2025: $0.07Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.11Q1 2026: $0.13Q2 2026: $0.17Forward: $0.22
Q3 2023: $-0.09Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.04Q2 2024: $0.02Q3 2024: $0.05Q4 2024: $0.06Q1 2025: $0.08Q2 2025: $0.07Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.11Q1 2026: $0.13Q2 2026: $0.17Forward: $0.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.22+31%
Q2 2026$0.17+143%
Q1 2026$0.13+63%
Q4 2025$0.11+83%
Q3 2025$0.09+80%
Q2 2025$0.07+250%
Q1 2025$0.08+$0.12
Q4 2024$0.06+$0.13
Q3 2024$0.05+$0.14

VTEX's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.17 over the past year, up 143% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over VTEX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VTEX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $51MQ4 2023: $61MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $60MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $64M
Q3 2023: $51MQ4 2023: $61MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $60MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $64M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$64.4M+9.5%
Q1 2026$60.7M+12%
Q4 2025$68M+10%
Q3 2025$59.6M+6.5%
Q2 2025$58.8M+4%
Q1 2025$54.2M+2.9%
Q4 2024$61.5M+1.3%
Q3 2024$56M+11%

VTEX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $64M last quarter, up 9.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $127B over the past year, up 76% from the year before.

VTEX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $13M
Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$13.3M+86%
Q1 2026$13.3M+100%
Q4 2025$11.1M-11%
Q3 2025$7.5M-9.4%
Q2 2025$7.1M+141%
Q1 2025$6.6M+325%
Q4 2024$12.4M+31%
Q3 2024$8.3M+210%

VTEX generated $45M in free cash flow over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

VTEX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 186MQ4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 192MQ3 2024: 192MQ4 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 189MQ2 2025: 187MQ3 2025: 187MQ4 2025: 181MQ1 2026: 171MQ2 2026: 171M
Q3 2023: 186MQ4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 192MQ3 2024: 192MQ4 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 189MQ2 2025: 187MQ3 2025: 187MQ4 2025: 181MQ1 2026: 171MQ2 2026: 171M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-8.9%-16.6M shares
3 years-8.7%-16.2M shares
5 years-8.8%-16.4M shares
Available history-8.8%-16.4M shares

VTEX has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

VTEX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -31.5xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: -31.5xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash

VTEX has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

VTEX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.7Neutral
Stochastic47.1Neutral

VTEX's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over VTEX on valuation relative to its sector.

VTEX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVTEXSector medianRelative
PE23x28x17% below
PE %04444 pts below

VTEX is trading at 23x earnings, a 17% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

VTEX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.940% above
20 week MA$3.910.8% above
50 week MA$3.764.8% above
100 week MA$4.5213% below
200 week MA$5.3026% below

VTEX has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

VTEX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$25.4$11.7-54%
2022$11.7$3.42-71%
2023$3.42$6.88+101%
2024$6.88$5.75-16%
2025$5.75$3.71-35%
2026 YTD$3.71$3.94+6.2%

VTEX has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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