NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over VSAT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

VSAT

Viasat, Inc.

57
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

VSAT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

VSAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Under pressure

VSAT's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

VSAT PE Valuation

VSAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

NVDA has the edge over VSAT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

VSAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect VSAT's losses to grow, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VSAT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VSAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$115.28
Downside-38%$44.13

Calculated from the latest close: $71.24 on Nov 12.

VSAT trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over VSAT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VSAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.79Q1 2024: $-9.12Q2 2024: $-8.55Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-3.70Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.65Q3 2025: $-4.03Q4 2025: $-2.62Q1 2026: $-0.25Q2 2026: $-0.20Q3 2026: $-0.68
Q4 2023: $7.79Q1 2024: $-9.12Q2 2024: $-8.55Q3 2024: $-3.46Q4 2024: $-3.70Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.65Q3 2025: $-4.03Q4 2025: $-2.62Q1 2026: $-0.25Q2 2026: $-0.20Q3 2026: $-0.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.68+$3.35
Q2 2026-$0.20+$4.45
Q1 2026-$0.25+$4.23
Q4 2025-$2.62+$1.08
Q3 2025-$4.03-$0.57
Q2 2025-$4.65+$3.90
Q1 2025-$4.48+$4.64
Q4 2024-$3.70-147%

VSAT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.68 per share over the past year, against $9.12 at its worst in early 2024.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over VSAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VSAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+3.4%
Q2 2026$1.2B-1.2%
Q1 2026$1.2B+2.1%
Q4 2025$1.2B+3%
Q3 2025$1.1B+1.7%
Q2 2025$1.2B+4%
Q1 2025$1.1B-0.3%
Q4 2024$1.1B-0.4%

VSAT's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.2B last quarter, up 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $127B over the past year, up 76% from the year before.

VSAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $239MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $298MQ2 2025: $258MQ3 2025: $282MQ4 2025: $727MQ1 2026: $322MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $285M
Q4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $239MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $298MQ2 2025: $258MQ3 2025: $282MQ4 2025: $727MQ1 2026: $322MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $285M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$285M+1%
Q2 2026$260.6M+0.8%
Q1 2026$322.3M+8%
Q4 2025$726.9M+231%
Q3 2025$282.2M+18%
Q2 2025$258.5M+71%
Q1 2025$298.4M+29%
Q4 2024$219.5M+64%

VSAT generated $1.6B in free cash flow over the past year, up 51% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over VSAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VSAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 127MQ3 2024: 128MQ4 2024: 129MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 135MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 135MQ2 2026: 137MQ3 2026: 139M
Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 127MQ3 2024: 128MQ4 2024: 129MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 135MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 135MQ2 2026: 137MQ3 2026: 139M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+1.5M shares
1 year+2.6%+3.5M shares
3 years+11%+14.1M shares
5 years+85%+63.8M shares
Available history+120%+75.7M shares

VSAT has 139M diluted shares, up 2.6% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over VSAT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VSAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 624.2xQ1 2024: 19.8xQ2 2024: 10.2xQ3 2024: 4.0xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 624.2xQ1 2024: 19.8xQ2 2024: 10.2xQ3 2024: 4.0xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.2xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20254.3xHigh
Q1 20254.3xHigh
Q4 20243.9xElevated

VSAT's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.1 years a year ago.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

VSAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.1Neutral
Stochastic43.0Neutral

VSAT's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

VSAT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVSATSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

VSAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

VSAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$68.73.7% above
20 week MA$72.92.3% below
50 week MA$60.717% above
100 week MA$39.481% above
200 week MA$31.3128% above

VSAT has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

VSAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$73.0$33.4-54%
2021$33.4$45.5+36%
2022$45.5$31.7-30%
2023$31.7$28.0-12%
2024$28.0$8.94-68%
2025$8.94$34.8+289%
2026 YTD$34.8$71.2+105%

VSAT has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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