NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over VRNS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

VRNS

Varonis Systems, Inc.

60
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

VRNS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

VRNS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Healthy
Unavailable

VRNS's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

VRNS PE Valuation

VRNS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

VRNS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

VRNS has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VRNS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VRNS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$74.81
Downside-33%$32.95

Calculated from the latest close: $49.07 on Nov 12.

VRNS trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over VRNS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VRNS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.92Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-0.80Q3 2024: $-0.75Q4 2024: $-0.86Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.92Q3 2025: $-1.02Q4 2025: $-1.13Q1 2026: $-1.13Q2 2026: $-1.22Q3 2026: $-1.32Forward: $0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.92Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-0.80Q3 2024: $-0.75Q4 2024: $-0.86Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.92Q3 2025: $-1.02Q4 2025: $-1.13Q1 2026: $-1.13Q2 2026: $-1.22Q3 2026: $-1.32Forward: $0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.36—
Q3 2026-$1.32-$0.30
Q2 2026-$1.22-$0.30
Q1 2026-$1.13-$0.32
Q4 2025-$1.13-$0.27
Q3 2025-$1.02-$0.27
Q2 2025-$0.92-$0.12
Q1 2025-$0.81+$0.13
Q4 2024-$0.86+$0.06

VRNS lost $1.32 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over VRNS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VRNS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: $114MQ2 2024: $130MQ3 2024: $148MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $136MQ2 2025: $152MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: $173MQ2 2026: $180MQ3 2026: $189M
Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: $114MQ2 2024: $130MQ3 2024: $148MQ4 2024: $159MQ1 2025: $136MQ2 2025: $152MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: $173MQ2 2026: $180MQ3 2026: $189M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$189.5M+17%
Q2 2026$180M+18%
Q1 2026$173.1M+27%
Q4 2025$173.4M+9.4%
Q3 2025$161.6M+9.1%
Q2 2025$152.2M+17%
Q1 2025$136.4M+20%
Q4 2024$158.5M+2.9%

VRNS's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $189M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over VRNS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VRNS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$26.6M-13%
Q2 2026$20.7M+15%
Q1 2026$50.1M-24%
Q4 2025$20.7M+4.1%
Q3 2025$30.4M+43%
Q2 2025$18M+65%
Q1 2025$65.7M+16%
Q4 2024$19.9M+140%

VRNS generated $118M in free cash flow over the past year, down 12% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over VRNS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VRNS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 112MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 112MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 114MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 115MQ3 2026: 115M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 112MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 112MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 114MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 115MQ3 2026: 115M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+180K shares
1 year0%+24.1K shares
3 years+5.1%+5.6M shares
5 years+7.4%+8M shares
Available history+27%+24.2M shares

VRNS has 115M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

VRNS Net Leverage

VRNS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

VRNS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.7Neutral
Stochastic86.9Overbought

VRNS's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

VRNS PE vs Technology Sector

VRNS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

VRNS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$48.51.1% above
20 week MA$46.16.5% above
50 week MA$35.737% above
100 week MA$41.618% above
200 week MA$40.621% above

VRNS has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

VRNS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.2$56.7+117%
2021$56.7$49.2-13%
2022$49.2$23.4-52%
2023$23.4$45.3+93%
2024$45.3$45.0-0.7%
2025$45.0$33.6-25%
2026 YTD$33.6$49.1+46%

VRNS has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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