NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over VERX overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

VERX

Vertex, Inc.

65
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

VERX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

VERX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Stable

VERX's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

VERX PE Valuation

VERX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

VERX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

VERX has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VERX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VERX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$26.68
Downside-32%$12.03

Calculated from the latest close: $17.75 on Nov 12.

VERX trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over VERX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VERX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.13Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $-0.33Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.32Q3 2025: $-0.34Q4 2025: $0.05Q1 2026: $-0.04Q2 2026: $0.03Q3 2026: $-0.28Forward: $0.99
Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.13Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $-0.33Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.32Q3 2025: $-0.34Q4 2025: $0.05Q1 2026: $-0.04Q2 2026: $0.03Q3 2026: $-0.28Forward: $0.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.99—
Q3 2026-$0.28+$0.06
Q2 2026$0.03+$0.35
Q1 2026-$0.04+$0.24
Q4 2025$0.05+$0.38
Q3 2025-$0.34-270%
Q2 2025-$0.32-346%
Q1 2025-$0.28-660%
Q4 2024-$0.33-$0.24

VERX is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.28 per share over the past year, against $0.57 at its worst in late 2020.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over VERX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VERX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $157MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $170MQ4 2024: $178MQ1 2025: $177MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $195MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $204MQ3 2026: $213M
Q4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $157MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $170MQ4 2024: $178MQ1 2025: $177MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $195MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $204MQ3 2026: $213M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$213.3M+11%
Q2 2026$204M+11%
Q1 2026$196.6M+11%
Q4 2025$194.7M+9.1%
Q3 2025$192.1M+13%
Q2 2025$184.6M+15%
Q1 2025$177.1M+13%
Q4 2024$178.5M+15%

VERX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $213M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over VERX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VERX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $53M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $53M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$53.2M+76%
Q2 2026$10.6M-46%
Q1 2026$7.7M+$19.9M
Q4 2025$10.1M-44%
Q3 2025$30.2M+64%
Q2 2025$19.6M-47%
Q1 2025-$12.3M-372%
Q4 2024$17.9M-38%

VERX generated $82M in free cash flow over the past year, up 47% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over VERX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VERX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 156MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 144MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 159MQ2 2025: 159MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 175MQ1 2026: 175MQ2 2026: 161MQ3 2026: 162M
Q4 2023: 156MQ1 2024: 161MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 144MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 159MQ2 2025: 159MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 175MQ1 2026: 175MQ2 2026: 161MQ3 2026: 162M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+876K shares
1 year+0.1%+96.8K shares
3 years+6.7%+10.2M shares
5 years+9.5%+14.1M shares
Available history+25%+32.6M shares

VERX has 162M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over VERX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VERX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

VERX's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

VERX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.5Neutral
Stochastic89.0Overbought

VERX's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over VERX on valuation relative to its sector.

VERX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVERXSector medianRelative
PE501x28x1,697% above
PE %743737 pts above

VERX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

VERX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.423% above
20 week MA$13.432% above
50 week MA$14.324% above
100 week MA$24.828% below
200 week MA$26.633% below

VERX has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

VERX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.6$34.1+45%
2021$34.1$17.1-50%
2022$17.1$14.8-13%
2023$14.8$26.9+82%
2024$26.9$52.7+96%
2025$52.7$20.3-61%
2026 YTD$20.3$17.8-13%

VERX has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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