NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over UCTT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

UCTT

Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.

59
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

UCTT's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

UCTT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Weak
Stable

UCTT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over UCTT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UCTT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x287x431x574x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x287x431x574x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.4x$48.10—
Cheap18x$9.98-79%
Fair26x$15.06-69%
Expensive47x$26.89-44%
Current84x$48.10—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UCTT's PE is in its expensive range at 84x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.4x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

UCTT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

UCTT has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UCTT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UCTT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$74.58
Downside-30%$33.65

Calculated from the latest close: $48.10 on Nov 12.

UCTT trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over UCTT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UCTT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $-3.38Q3 2025: $-3.57Q4 2025: $-4.00Q1 2026: $-4.29Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $0.57Forward: $5.70
Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $-3.38Q3 2025: $-3.57Q4 2025: $-4.00Q1 2026: $-4.29Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $0.57Forward: $5.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.70+899%
Q3 2026$0.57+$4.14
Q2 2026-$0.52+$2.86
Q1 2026-$4.29-792%
Q4 2025-$4.00-869%
Q3 2025-$3.57-5200%
Q2 2025-$3.38-$3.18
Q1 2025$0.62+$1.45
Q4 2024$0.52+$1.22

UCTT has returned to profit: it earned $0.57 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over UCTT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UCTT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $445MQ1 2024: $478MQ2 2024: $516MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $563MQ1 2025: $519MQ2 2025: $519MQ3 2025: $510MQ4 2025: $507MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $759M
Q4 2023: $445MQ1 2024: $478MQ2 2024: $516MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $563MQ1 2025: $519MQ2 2025: $519MQ3 2025: $510MQ4 2025: $507MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $759M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$759M+49%
Q2 2026$644.9M+24%
Q1 2026$533.7M+2.9%
Q4 2025$506.7M-10%
Q3 2025$510M-5.6%
Q2 2025$518.8M+0.5%
Q1 2025$518.6M+8.6%
Q4 2024$563.3M+27%

UCTT's revenue is growing: $759M last quarter, up 49% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over UCTT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

UCTT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$300,000Q4 2024: −$200,000Q1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$57MQ3 2026: −$62M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$300,000Q4 2024: −$200,000Q1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$57MQ3 2026: −$62M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$61.8M-$50.9M
Q2 2026-$57.3M-562%
Q1 2026-$42.9M-372%
Q4 2025-$2M-$1.8M
Q3 2025-$10.9M-$10.6M
Q2 2025$12.4M+22%
Q1 2025$15.8M+$24M
Q4 2024-$200K-101%

UCTT has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$164M over the past year, against $17M the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over UCTT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UCTT Total Shares

Q1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+100K shares
1 year+1.8%+800K shares
3 years+4.3%+1.9M shares

UCTT has 46M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago, despite $40M in buybacks over the past year.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over UCTT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UCTT Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -3.5xQ3 2024: -2.8xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q2 2024: -3.5xQ3 2024: -2.8xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 20241.4xHealthy
Q3 2024-2.8xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2023-2.6xNet Cash
Q4 20221.0xHealthy

UCTT's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

UCTT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.1Oversold

UCTT's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over UCTT on valuation relative to its sector.

UCTT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUCTTSector medianRelative
PE84x28x203% above
PE %903555 pts above

UCTT is trading at 84x earnings, a 203% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

UCTT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.815% below
20 week MA$73.535% below
50 week MA$67.328% below
100 week MA$46.82.9% above
200 week MA$41.616% above

UCTT has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

UCTT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.4$31.7+35%
2021$31.7$56.2+78%
2022$56.2$33.3-41%
2023$33.3$34.1+2.5%
2024$34.1$36.5+7%
2025$36.5$26.0-29%
2026 YTD$26.0$48.1+85%

UCTT has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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