NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over TUYA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TUYA

Tuya Inc.

62
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

TUYA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

TUYA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

TUYA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

TUYA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x142x213x284x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x142x213x284x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current12x$1.61—
Cheap18x$2.46+53%
Fair28x$3.86+140%
Expensive74x$10.36+543%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TUYA has the edge over NVDA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

TUYA Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TUYA to show an outlook.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TUYA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TUYA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$2.33
Downside-29%$1.14

Calculated from the latest close: $1.61 on Nov 12.

TUYA trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.91 over the past year, up 125% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

TUYA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.13Q4 2023: $-0.11Q1 2024: $-0.08Q2 2024: $-0.03Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $0.01Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.05Q3 2025: $0.08Q4 2025: $0.09Q1 2026: $0.10Q2 2026: $0.14
Q3 2023: $-0.13Q4 2023: $-0.11Q1 2024: $-0.08Q2 2024: $-0.03Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $0.01Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.05Q3 2025: $0.08Q4 2025: $0.09Q1 2026: $0.10Q2 2026: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.14+180%
Q1 2026$0.10+233%
Q4 2025$0.09+800%
Q3 2025$0.08+$0.11
Q2 2025$0.05+$0.08
Q1 2025$0.03+$0.11
Q4 2024$0.01+$0.12
Q3 2024-$0.03+$0.10

TUYA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.14 over the past year, up 180% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over TUYA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TUYA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $61MQ4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $82MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $75MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $83MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $174M
Q3 2023: $61MQ4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $82MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $75MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $83MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $174M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$173.8M+117%
Q1 2026$81.1M+8.6%
Q4 2025$84.9M+3.4%
Q3 2025$82.6M+1.2%
Q2 2025$80.1M+9.3%
Q1 2025$74.7M+21%
Q4 2024$82.1M+27%
Q3 2024$81.6M+34%

TUYA's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $174M last quarter, up 117% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over TUYA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TUYA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $16MQ4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $6M
Q3 2023: $16MQ4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.2M+$6.2M
Q1 2026$6.4M+$6.4M
Q4 2025$16.4M+$16.4M
Q3 2025$30M+$30M
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0-100%
Q3 2024$0-100%

TUYA generated $59M in free cash flow over the past year, against $0 the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over TUYA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TUYA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 556MQ4 2023: 557MQ1 2024: 559MQ2 2024: 593MQ3 2024: 570MQ4 2024: 590MQ1 2025: 608MQ2 2025: 610MQ3 2025: 614MQ4 2025: 616MQ1 2026: 616MQ2 2026: 616M
Q3 2023: 556MQ4 2023: 557MQ1 2024: 559MQ2 2024: 593MQ3 2024: 570MQ4 2024: 590MQ1 2025: 608MQ2 2025: 610MQ3 2025: 614MQ4 2025: 616MQ1 2026: 616MQ2 2026: 616M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+1%+5.8M shares
3 years+11%+61.4M shares
5 years+9.9%+55.4M shares
Available history+11%+60.6M shares

TUYA has 616M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

TUYA Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -13.6xQ1 2026: -13.0xQ2 2026: -9.4x
Q4 2025: -13.6xQ1 2026: -13.0xQ2 2026: -9.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-9.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-13.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-13.6xNet Cash

TUYA has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

TUYA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.2Neutral
Stochastic12.0Oversold

TUYA's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

TUYA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTUYASector medianRelative
PE12x28x58% below
PE %14140 pts below

TUYA has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has the edge over TUYA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TUYA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.652.4% below
20 week MA$1.736.9% below
50 week MA$2.0321% below
100 week MA$2.2729% below
200 week MA$2.0421% below

TUYA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over TUYA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TUYA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$25.1$6.40-75%
2022$6.40$1.79-72%
2023$1.79$2.30+28%
2024$2.30$1.78-23%
2025$1.78$2.21+24%
2026 YTD$2.21$1.61-27%

TUYA has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 27% so far in 2026.

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